AEP

AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER CO INC

Utilities • CIK: 0000004904

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Market Cap
$61.64B
P/E (TTM)
17.2x
Rev Growth (TTM)
+10.9%
Net Margin (TTM)
16.4%
FCF Yield (TTM)
11.3%
FCF Margin (TTM)
31.7%

Filing Intelligence

6.0/10
10-K filed Feb 12, 2026FY 2025

Executive Summary

AEP's earnings increased significantly year-over-year due to strategic investments in transmission, favorable regulatory outcomes, and operational efficiencies, despite some one-time charges.. The...

Key Concerns

  • Capital Investment and Financing Risk (high)
  • Cybersecurity and Technology Threats (high)

Key Strengths

  • AEP's earnings increased significantly year-over-year due to strategic investments in transmission, favorable regulatory outcomes, and...
  • The company is experiencing accelerating customer demand, particularly from data centers, and is strategically investing in generation and...
  • New large load tariffs and customer contracts are being implemented to ensure new load growth is managed to protect existing customers'...

LATEST EARNINGS

Q4 FY2025
about 2 months ago
View source
Revenue
$5.31B
+13.2%
Net Income
$582.00M
-12.3%
EPS
$1.19
-4.0%
Net
10.9% -3.2%
  • Full-year GAAP earnings increased to $6.70 per share from $5.60 in the prior year.
  • Full-year operating earnings increased to $5.97 per share from $5.62 in the prior year.
  • Incremental load demand doubled to 56 GW by 2030, all backed by signed agreements.
  • Identified opportunities for $5 billion to $8 billion of incremental investment beyond the five-year capital plan.

Cash Flow Health

Free Cash Flow8/8 positive
TTM$6.9B
Q4 '25
$18M-99%
Q3 '25
$2.2B+77%
FCF Margin
TTM31.7%
Q4 '250.3%-99%
Sector: 0.0%Top 10%
OCF Margin31.7%
OCF/NI1.94x
CapEx Coverage
FCF Yield11.3%
FCF Growth (2Y)+28%
Cash Conversion Cycle
-96 days
DSO: 46+DIO: 0DPO: 142

Capital Allocation & Returns

Balanced
Total Shareholder YieldEst.
Est.3.3%
Div Yield3.3%
+
Est. Buyback4.8%

Balancing returns with reinvestment

Dividend & Payout Metrics
Dividend Yield (TTM)3.3%
FCF Payout Ratio28.9%
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$6.9B
Capital Return / FCF28.9%
Est. Dividends Paid (TTM)$2.0B
Estimated: Buyback data estimated from FCF. Actual repurchase data not available for this company.
Shows how management rewards shareholders

Operational Efficiency & Returns

Return on Invested CapitalTTM
6.4%
Stable
+0.0% YoY-1.1%
P25MedianP75
75th pctl (med: 0.1%)
DuPont BreakdownROIC = Margin × Turn × (1+D/E)
NOPAT Margin
23.5%
8Q: 21.8%
Asset Turnover
0.20x
8Q: 0.20x
Leverage (1+D/E)
2.54x
D/E: 1.54x
DuPont: 12.1%6.4% ROIC
Asset & CapEx Efficiency
Fixed Asset Turn
0.26x
8Q:0.27x
+2.2%
Invested Cap Turn
0.27x
8Q:0.28x
+2.7%
Asset-based ROIC formula

QUARTERLY TRENDS

Last 8 quarters + TTM

MetricTTMQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue
$21.9B
$5.3B11.6%
$6.0B18.2%
$5.1B6.9%
$5.5B16.3%
$4.7B13.4%
$5.4B18.4%
$4.6B8.9%
$5.0B
Operating Income
$5.3B
$1.1B26.8%
$1.5B8.7%
$1.4B8.9%
$1.3B17.2%
$1.1B18.9%
$1.4B97.6%
$683.9M41.7%
$1.2B
Net Income
$3.6B
$582.0M40.1%
$972.0M20.7%
$1.2B53.2%
$800.2M20.5%
$664.0M30.8%
$959.6M182.0%
$340.3M66.1%
$1.0B
Operating Cash Flow
$6.9B
$1.8B26.3%
$2.5B101.4%
$1.2B15.8%
$1.4B16.0%
$1.7B20.5%
$2.2B48.6%
$1.5B1.4%
$1.4B
Free Cash Flow
$6.9B
$17.5M99.2%
$2.2B77.0%
$1.2B15.8%
$1.4B9.2%
$1.3B38.9%
$2.2B48.6%
$1.5B1.4%
$1.4B
Total Equity
N/A

Valuation Analysis

Fair Value
Price-to-EarningsTTM
17.2x
Volatile
8Q: 67.3x+105%
Multiple expansion without fundamental improvement
Valuation Lenses
Earnings
17.2x
vs sector
Cash Flow
15.4x
EV/FCF vs
Growth-Adj
0.9xPEG
Undervalued for growth
Quality-Adj
2.7P/E per %ROIC
ROIC: 6.4%
Shareholder Returns
Dividend
3.3%
Buyback
Total Yield
3.3%
Market Cap$61.64B
EV$106.70B
Multi-angle valuation analysis with sector context

Business Quality & Moat

Overall Quality Score
77/100
High Quality

Composite score: Returns (40%) + Consistency (30%) + Earnings Quality (30%)

Returns on Capital

Return on Equity (ROE)Above Avg
12.3%
8Q:
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)Top 25%
6.4%
8Q:
Flat
vs Sector:0.1%

DuPont Analysis (ROIC = NOPAT Margin × Asset Turnover)

NOPAT Margin: 23.5%
Asset Turnover: 0.20x

Earnings Quality

Cash Conversion

1.94x

OCF / Net Income

FCF Consistency

Positive quarters

Competitive Moat Indicators

Pricing Power

Gross Margin67.9%

Capital Efficiency

Invested Capital Turnover0.27x

Working Capital

Cash Conversion Cycle-96 days

Growth Quality & Momentum

Moderate Growth
Growth Quality Score
71/100
Growth 40%
Margins 30%
FCF 20%
Consistency 10%

Growth Rates

Revenue Growth YoY
10.9%
OpInc Growth YoY
1.7%
EPS Growth YoY
19.5%
FCF 3Y CAGR
28.4%

Growth Quality Analysis

Efficient Growth: Free cash flow growing faster than revenue
Sustainability Index: 7.5/10 - Highly sustainable growth

Margin Quality & Sustainability

Low Quality
Profitability Cascade
Gross
67.9%
Operating
24.3%
Above Avg in sector
Net
16.4%
Margins Unknown
Earnings Quality Signals
SBC / Revenue
FCF vs Net Gap
+15.4 pts
FCF: 31.7% | Net: 16.4%

Quality = stability + cash conversion + low dilution

Balance Sheet & Solvency

Leveraged
Net Debt / EBITDA
Net Debt: $47.44B
Interest Coverage
Balance sheet risk & solvency analysis