LOW
LOWES COMPANIES INC
Consumer Discretionary • CIK: 0000060667
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Market Cap
$149.29B
P/E (TTM)
22.5x
Rev Growth (TTM)
+3.1%
Net Margin (TTM)
7.7%
FCF Yield (TTM)
5.1%
FCF Margin (TTM)
8.9%
Filing Intelligence
6.0/10
10-K filed Mar 23, 2026 • FY 2025
Executive Summary
Management expresses confidence in long-term growth despite acknowledging volatility in the housing market.. Significant non-cancellable purchase commitments totaling $2.3 billion over several...
Key Concerns
- ●Reclassification of accounts receivable-net, Goodwill, and Intangible assets - net for the prior year to conform with current year...
- ●Significant non-cancellable purchase commitments totaling $2.3 billion over several years.
- ●Legal proceedings, including an EPA investigation, have resulted in a $12.5 million civil penalty and a new consent decree.
Key Strengths
- ●Revenue growth was driven by acquisitions, with modest comparable sales growth impacted by fewer transactions but higher ticket prices.
- ●Gross margins improved due to credit revenue and inventory shrink reduction, but operating expenses increased as a percentage of sales.
- ●The company is investing in strategic initiatives and acquisitions, which is reflected in increased capital expenditures and debt.
Cash Flow Health
Free Cash Flow8/8 positive
TTM$7.7B
Q4 '26
$964M+971%
Q3 '26
$90M-98%
FCF Margin
TTM8.9%
Q4 '264.7%+983%
Sector: 2.7%Top 25%
OCF Margin11.4%
OCF/NI1.49x
CapEx Coverage4.5x
FCF Yield5.1%
FCF Growth (2Y)+4%
Cash Conversion Cycle
46 days
DSO: 0+DIO: 110−DPO: 64
Capital Allocation & Returns
Growth Focused
Total Shareholder YieldTTM
TTM1.9%
Div Yield1.8%
+Buyback (TTM)0.1%
Prioritizing reinvestment over distributions
Dividend & Payout Metrics
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.8%
FCF Payout Ratio34.7%
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$7.7B
Stock Repurchases (TTM)$211.0M
Capital Return / FCF37.2%
Est. Dividends Paid (TTM)$2.7B
Shows how management rewards shareholders
Operational Efficiency & Returns
Return on Invested CapitalTTM
28.6%
Moderate
-0.0% YoY-11.6%
P25MedianP75
75th pctl (med: 0.1%)
DuPont BreakdownROIC = Margin × Turn × (1+D/E)
NOPAT Margin
9.0%
8Q: 9.3%
Asset Turnover
1.78x
8Q: 1.85x
Leverage (1+D/E)
-2.78x
D/E: -3.78x
DuPont: -44.3% ≈ 28.6% ROIC
Asset & CapEx Efficiency
Fixed Asset Turn
4.82x
8Q:4.68x
-28.0%
Invested Cap Turn
3.19x
8Q:3.31x
-63.3%
CapEx Intensity
8.2%
8Q:8.4%
CapEx/Depreciation
1.01x
Asset-based ROIC formula
QUARTERLY TRENDS
Last 8 quarters + TTM
| Metric | TTM | Q4 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $86.3B | $20.6B↓1.1% | $20.8B↓13.1% | $24.0B↑14.5% | $20.9B↑12.8% | $18.6B↓8.0% | $20.2B↓14.5% | $23.6B↑10.4% | $21.4B |
Operating Income | $10.2B | $1.7B↓31.2% | $2.5B↓28.5% | $3.5B↑39.1% | $2.5B↑36.3% | $1.8B↓27.8% | $2.5B↓26.4% | $3.4B↑29.9% | $2.7B |
Net Income | $6.6B | $997.0M↓38.2% | $1.6B↓32.6% | $2.4B↑46.1% | $1.6B↑45.8% | $1.1B↓33.6% | $1.7B↓28.9% | $2.4B↑35.8% | $1.8B |
Operating Cash Flow | $9.9B | $1.6B↑128.1% | $687.0M↓83.8% | $4.2B↑25.2% | $3.4B↑270.9% | $911.0M↓29.9% | $1.3B↓58.8% | $3.2B↓26.0% | $4.3B |
Free Cash Flow | $7.7B | $964.0M↑971.1% | $90.0M↓97.6% | $3.7B↑30.6% | $2.9B↑688.2% | $363.0M↓50.1% | $728.0M↓73.3% | $2.7B↓29.7% | $3.9B |
Total Equity | N/A |
Valuation Analysis
Fair Value
Price-to-EarningsTTM
22.5x
Volatile
8Q: 80.1x+4076%
Multiple expansion without fundamental improvement
Valuation Lenses
Earnings
22.5x
vs – sector
Cash Flow
23.5x
EV/FCF vs –
Growth-Adj
–PEG
N/A
Quality-Adj
0.8P/E per %ROIC
ROIC: 28.6%
Shareholder Returns
Dividend
1.8%
Buyback
0.1%
Total Yield
1.9%
Market Cap$149.29B
EV$179.87B
Multi-angle valuation analysis with sector context
Business Quality & Moat
Overall Quality Score
18/100
Below Average
Composite score: Returns (40%) + Consistency (30%) + Earnings Quality (30%)
Returns on Capital
Return on Equity (ROE)Top 10%
-56.3%
8Q:–
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)Top 25%
28.6%
8Q:–
-11.6%
vs Sector:0.1%
DuPont Analysis (ROIC = NOPAT Margin × Asset Turnover)
NOPAT Margin: 9.0%
Asset Turnover: 1.78x
Earnings Quality
Cash Conversion
1.49x
OCF / Net Income ✓
FCF Consistency
–
Positive quarters
Competitive Moat Indicators
Pricing Power
Gross Margin33.5%
Capital Efficiency
Invested Capital Turnover3.19x
Working Capital
Cash Conversion Cycle46 days
Growth Quality & Momentum
Moderate Growth
Growth Quality Score
55/100
Growth 40%
Margins 30%
FCF 20%
Consistency 10%
Growth Rates
Revenue Growth YoY
3.1%
OpInc Growth YoY
-6.7%
EPS Growth YoY
-3.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR
4.2%
Margin Quality & Sustainability
Moderate
Profitability Cascade
Gross
33.5%
Operating
11.8%
Top 25% in sector
Net
7.7%
Margins Unknown
Earnings Quality Signals
SBC / Revenue
—
FCF vs Net Gap
+1.2 pts
FCF: 8.9% | Net: 7.7%
Quality = stability + cash conversion + low dilution
Balance Sheet & Solvency
Solid
Net Debt / EBITDA
–Net Debt: $36.14B
Interest Coverage
–
Balance sheet risk & solvency analysis