ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) Stock Analysis

ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) Stock Analysis

Analysis from 10-Q filed 2025-12-10. Data as of Q4 2025.

Overall Grade: F (Concerning)

ROSS STORES, INC. faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.

Metric Value Context
ROIC 20.1% Above industry average
FCF Margin 8.9% Healthy cash flow
Debt/Equity 0.3x Conservative leverage

Investment Thesis: Strong return on invested capital of 20.1% suggests durable competitive advantages and efficient capital allocation.

Explore ROSS STORES, INC.: Earnings History | Filing Intelligence | ROIC Analysis


Profitability: ROSS STORES, INC. earns 20.1% ROIC, Top 25% in Consumer Discretionary

ROSS STORES, INC.'s trailing-twelve-month ROIC of 20.1% ranks Top 25% in Consumer Discretionary companies (sector median: 8.8%), driven by NOPAT margin of 9.0% combined with asset turnover of 1.5x. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-12-10. Gross margin of 27.5% with operating margin at 11.9% reflects a competitive pricing environment.

Metric ROST Rating Context
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) 20.1% Excellent Above sector median of 8.8%
Return on Equity (ROE) 37.3% Excellent Efficient use of shareholder equity
Gross Margin 27.5% Adequate Competitive pricing environment
Operating Margin 11.9% Good Moderate operational efficiency

Cash Flow: ROSS STORES, INC. generates $2.0B FCF at 8.9% margin, positive NaN/8 quarters

ROSS STORES, INC. generated $2.0B in free cash flow (TTM), a 8.9% FCF margin, a margin that ranks Top 25% in Consumer Discretionary. Operating cash flow exceeds net income by 1.3x, indicating high earnings quality. FCF was positive in N/A of the last 8 quarters. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-12-10.

Metric ROST Rating Context
Free Cash Flow Margin 8.9% Adequate Healthy cash generation
Free Cash Flow (TTM) $2.0B Good Positive cash generation
OCF/Net Income 1.3x Excellent High earnings quality
FCF Consistency (8Q) N/A Warning Variable cash flow

Balance Sheet: ROSS STORES, INC. at 0.3x leverage

ROSS STORES, INC.'s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3x reflects conservative leverage. Net cash position of $2.6B provides financial flexibility. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-12-10.

Metric ROST Rating Context
Debt to Equity 0.3x Excellent Conservative capital structure
Net Cash Position $2.6B Excellent Net cash positive

Valuation: ROSS STORES, INC. trades at 24.7x earnings

ROSS STORES, INC. trades at a P/E of 24.7x. Free cash flow yield of 3.8% reflects market expectations for growth.

Metric ROST Rating Context
P/E Ratio 24.7x Adequate Premium valuation
EV/Sales 2.0x Good Attractive revenue multiple
FCF Yield 3.8% Adequate Lower cash yield
Dividend Yield 1.0% Adequate Growth focus over income

Capital Allocation: ROSS STORES, INC. returns 3.0% shareholder yield

ROSS STORES, INC.'s total shareholder yield is 3.0% (dividends 1.0% + buybacks 2.0%). Source: 10-Q filed 2025-12-10.

Metric ROST Rating Context
Total Shareholder Yield 3.0% Good Dividend + buyback yield combined
Buyback Yield 2.0% Adequate Active share repurchases
Total Capital Returned (TTM) $1.6B Good Dividends + buybacks returned to shareholders

Sector Rankings

Metric Value Percentile vs Median
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) 20.1% Top 25% 2.3x above
Free Cash Flow Margin 8.9% Top 25% 3.3x above
Gross Margin 27.5% Bottom 50% 0.7x below
Operating Margin 11.9% Top 25% 2.5x above
Return on Equity (ROE) 37.3% Top 25% 3.5x above
P/E Ratio 24.7x N/A -

Financial Scorecard

Metric ROST Rating Sector Context
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) 20.1% Excellent Top 25% of sector (median: 8.8%)
Free Cash Flow Margin 8.9% Adequate Top 25% of sector (median: 2.7%)
Gross Margin 27.5% Adequate Bottom 50% of sector (median: 39.5%)
Debt to Equity Ratio 25.8% Excellent Conservative capital structure
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings) 24.7x Adequate Fair value
Free Cash Flow Yield 3.8% Adequate Moderate yield

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is ROSS STORES, INC.'s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?

ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 20.1%. This compares above the sector median of 8.8%. An ROIC above 20% indicates exceptional capital efficiency and strong competitive advantages.

Q: What is ROSS STORES, INC.'s Free Cash Flow Margin?

ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) has a free cash flow margin of 8.9%, generating $2.0 billion in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. A FCF margin between 5-10% is typical for capital-intensive businesses.

Q: Is ROSS STORES, INC. stock overvalued or undervalued?

ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) trades at a P/E ratio of 24.7x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 2.0x. Free cash flow yield is 3.8%, which is in line with market averages.

Q: Does ROSS STORES, INC. pay a dividend?

ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) currently pays a dividend yield of 1.0%. Including share buybacks, the total shareholder yield is 3.0%. The relatively low yield suggests the company prioritizes growth reinvestment over income distribution.

Q: What is ROSS STORES, INC.'s revenue and earnings growth?

ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) grew revenue by 3.7% year-over-year. Earnings per share increased by 0.8% compared to the prior year. Modest growth indicates a mature business with stable demand.

Q: Is ROSS STORES, INC. buying back stock?

ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) repurchased $1.1 billion of stock over the trailing twelve months. This represents a buyback yield of 2.0%.

Q: How does ROSS STORES, INC. compare to competitors in Consumer Discretionary?

Compared to other companies in Consumer Discretionary, ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) shows: ROIC of 20.1% is above the sector median of 8.8% (Top 18%). FCF margin of 8.9% exceeds the sector median of 2.7% (Top 18% of sector). Gross margin at 27.5% is 12 percentage points lower than sector peers. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Consumer Discretionary companies with available SEC filings.

Q: What warning signs should I watch for with ROSS STORES, INC.?

Investors in ROSS STORES, INC. (ROST) should monitor these potential warning signs: 1) ROIC has been declining, potentially signaling deteriorating competitive position. Regular monitoring of SEC filings and quarterly trends is recommended.


Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-12-10. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.

Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.

Scope: This analysis covers SEC filing fundamentals — profitability, cash flow, balance sheet, and valuation metrics. For analyst estimates and price targets, consult sell-side research.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.