Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Stock Analysis
Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Stock Analysis
Overall Grade: F (Concerning)
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Titan Machinery Inc. faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.
Key Metrics:
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -3.6% | Below expectations |
| FCF Margin | 8.3% | Healthy cash flow |
| Debt/Equity | 0.3x | Conservative leverage |
Investment Thesis: Financial metrics indicate concerning business quality with areas requiring attention.
What is Titan Machinery Inc.'s Profitability and ROIC?
Titan Machinery Inc.'s return on invested capital of -3.6% is below the typical cost of capital. Gross margin of 13.6% with operating margin at -1.6% reflects the company's moderate market position.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -3.6% | Red flag | Below cost of capital |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -10.0% | Red flag | Moderate equity returns |
| Gross Margin | 13.6% | Warning | Competitive pricing environment |
| Operating Margin | -1.6% | Warning | Moderate operational efficiency |
How Strong is Titan Machinery Inc.'s Cash Flow Quality?
Titan Machinery Inc. generated $210.4M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months, representing a 8.3% margin. FCF was positive in N/A of the last 8 quarters, indicating variable cash generation.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 8.3% | Adequate | Healthy cash generation |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $210.4M | Good | Positive cash generation |
| OCF/Net Income | -3.4x | Warning | Potential accrual concerns |
| FCF Consistency (8Q) | N/A | Warning | Variable cash flow |
What is Titan Machinery Inc.'s Financial Health?
Titan Machinery Inc.'s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3x indicates conservative leverage.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity | 0.3x | Excellent | Conservative capital structure |
| Net Cash Position | $-127.8M | Adequate | Net debt position |
Is Titan Machinery Inc. Stock Overvalued or Undervalued?
Titan Machinery Inc. trades at a P/E of -6.0x, representing a premium to the sector median of N/A. Free cash flow yield of 56.5% offers attractive cash returns.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -6.0x | Red flag | Reasonable valuation |
| EV/Sales | 0.2x | Excellent | Attractive revenue multiple |
| FCF Yield | 56.5% | Excellent | Attractive cash return |
Sector Rankings
| Metric | Value | Percentile | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -3.6% | Bottom 10% | -0.4x below |
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 8.3% | Top 25% | 2.6x above |
| Gross Margin | 13.6% | Bottom 25% | 0.3x below |
| Operating Margin | -1.6% | Bottom 10% | -0.3x below |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -10.0% | Bottom 10% | -0.8x below |
Rating Thresholds
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its debt and equity capital to generate profits. ROIC above 15% typically indicates a competitive moat.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Exceptional capital efficiency, strong competitive moat |
| Good | 12% - 20% | Above-average returns, sustainable competitive position |
| Adequate | 8% - 12% | Around cost of capital, moderate competitive position |
| Warning | 4% - 8% | Below cost of capital, value may be eroding |
| Red flag | < 4% | Significant capital destruction, fundamental issues |
Current: -3.6% (Red flag)
Free Cash Flow Margin
The percentage of revenue converted to free cash flow. Higher margins indicate stronger cash generation and business quality.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Strong cash generation, high-quality business |
| Good | 10% - 20% | Healthy cash conversion |
| Adequate | 5% - 10% | Moderate cash generation |
| Warning | 0% - 5% | Thin cash margins, capital intensive |
| Red flag | < 0% | Cash burn, potential liquidity concerns |
Current: 8.3% (Adequate - Top 25% of sector (median: 3.2%))
Gross Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold as a percentage. Higher gross margins indicate pricing power and competitive advantage.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 50% | Strong pricing power and competitive moat |
| Good | 30% - 50% | Healthy margins, differentiated product |
| Adequate | 20% - 30% | Moderate margins, competitive industry |
| Warning | 10% - 20% | Thin margins, commodity-like business |
| Red flag | < 10% | Very thin margins, structural challenges |
Current: 13.6% (Warning - Bottom 25% of sector (median: 40.9%))
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Lower ratios indicate more conservative financing and reduced financial risk.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 0.3x | Conservative leverage, strong balance sheet |
| Good | 0.3x - 0.7x | Moderate leverage, healthy financial position |
| Adequate | 0.7x - 1.5x | Elevated leverage, monitor closely |
| Warning | 1.5x - 3.0x | High leverage, increased financial risk |
| Red flag | > 3.0x | Excessive leverage, potential distress risk |
Current: 28.8% (Excellent)
Free Cash Flow Yield
Free cash flow per share divided by stock price. Higher FCF yield indicates better cash return relative to valuation.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 8% | High cash return, potential value opportunity |
| Good | 5% - 8% | Solid cash yield |
| Adequate | 3% - 5% | Moderate cash return |
| Warning | 1% - 3% | Low cash yield, growth expectations |
| Red flag | < 1% | Minimal cash return to shareholders |
Current: 56.5% (Excellent)
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is Titan Machinery Inc.'s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?
Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -3.6%. This compares below the sector median of 9.8%. An ROIC below 8% suggests the company may be destroying shareholder value.
Q: What is Titan Machinery Inc.'s Free Cash Flow Margin?
Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) has a free cash flow margin of 8.3%, generating $210.4 million in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. A FCF margin between 5-10% is typical for capital-intensive businesses.
Q: Is Titan Machinery Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued?
Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) trades at a P/E ratio of -6.0x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 0.2x. Free cash flow yield is 56.5%, which represents an attractive cash return to investors.
Q: What is Titan Machinery Inc.'s revenue and earnings growth?
Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) declined revenue by 8.9% year-over-year. Revenue decline may indicate market challenges or industry headwinds.
Q: How does Titan Machinery Inc. compare to competitors in Consumer Discretionary?
Compared to other companies in Consumer Discretionary, Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) shows: ROIC of -3.6% is below the sector median of 9.8% (-0.4x median). FCF margin of 8.3% exceeds the sector median of 3.2% (Top 22% of sector). Gross margin at 13.6% is 27.2 percentage points lower than sector peers. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Consumer Discretionary companies with available SEC filings.
Q: What warning signs should I watch for with Titan Machinery Inc.?
Investors in Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) should monitor these potential warning signs: 1) ROIC has been declining, potentially signaling deteriorating competitive position. Regular monitoring of SEC filings and quarterly trends is recommended.
Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-12-04. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.
Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.