Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Analysis

Analysis from 10-Q filed 2025-11-25. Data as of Q1 2026.

Overall Grade: F (Concerning)

Grade F (Concerning). ROIC 18.2%. FCF margin 1.5%. D/E 1.1x. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Metric	Value	Context
ROIC	18.2%	Solid returns
FCF Margin	1.5%	Cash flow pressure
Debt/Equity	1.1x	Moderate leverage

ROIC 18.2% — Top 25% of sector peers. FCF margin 1.5% — Bottom 50%.

Explore Burlington Stores, Inc.: Earnings History | Filings | ROIC Analysis

Programmatic access: Available via MCP at mcp.metricduck.com. Tools for BURL: get_company_overview, get_filing_index (lens: debt_stress, management_outlook, risk_trajectory), get_filing_changes, get_metric_history, compare_companies, screen_filing_signals.

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Profitability: Burlington Stores, Inc. earns 18.2% ROIC, Top 25% in Consumer Discretionary

ROIC TTM 18.2%, sector median 8.1%, Top 25%. DuPont: NOPAT margin 5.3% × asset turnover 1.3x. Gross margin 43.9%. Operating margin 7.1%. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Metric	BURL	Rating	Context
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)	18.2%	Good	Above sector median of 8.1%
Return on Equity (ROE)	41.3%	Excellent	Efficient use of shareholder equity
Gross Margin	43.9%	Good	Strong pricing power
Operating Margin	7.1%	Adequate	Moderate operational efficiency

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Cash Flow: Burlington Stores, Inc. generates $171.6M FCF at 1.5% margin, positive NaN/8 quarters

FCF TTM $171.6M. FCF margin 1.5%, Bottom 50%. OCF/Net income 2.0x. Positive FCF in NaN/8 trailing quarters. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Metric	BURL	Rating	Context
Free Cash Flow Margin	1.5%	Warning	Thin cash margins
Free Cash Flow (TTM)	$171.6M	Good	Positive cash generation
OCF/Net Income	2.0x	Excellent	High earnings quality
FCF Consistency (8Q)	N/A	Warning	Variable cash flow

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Balance Sheet: Burlington Stores, Inc. at 1.1x leverage

Debt/Equity 1.1x. Total debt $2.1B, cash & investments $1.2B. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Metric	BURL	Rating	Context
Debt to Equity	1.1x	Adequate	Moderate leverage
Net Cash Position	$-829.8M	Adequate	Net debt position

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Valuation: Burlington Stores, Inc. trades at 30.5x earnings

P/E 30.5x. EV/Sales 1.7x. FCF yield 0.9%. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Metric	BURL	Rating	Context
P/E Ratio	30.5x	Adequate	Premium valuation
EV/Sales	1.7x	Excellent	Attractive revenue multiple
FCF Yield	0.9%	Warning	Lower cash yield

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Capital Allocation: Burlington Stores, Inc. returns 1.5% shareholder yield

Total shareholder yield 1.5% (buyback 1.5%). Capital returned $278.4M TTM. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Metric	BURL	Rating	Context
Total Shareholder Yield	1.5%	Adequate	Dividend + buyback yield combined
Buyback Yield	1.5%	Adequate	Minimal buyback activity
Total Capital Returned (TTM)	$278.4M	Good	Dividends + buybacks returned to shareholders

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Sector Rankings

Metric	Value	Percentile	vs Median
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)	18.2%	Top 25%	2.3x above
Free Cash Flow Margin	1.5%	Bottom 50%	0.7x below
Gross Margin	43.9%	Top 50%	1.1x above
Operating Margin	7.1%	Top 50%	1.7x above
Return on Equity (ROE)	41.3%	Top 25%	4.0x above
P/E Ratio	30.5x	N/A	-

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Financial Scorecard

Metric	BURL	Rating	Sector Context
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)	18.2%	Good	Top 25% of sector (median: 8.1%)
Free Cash Flow Margin	1.5%	Warning	Bottom 50% of sector (median: 2.2%)
Gross Margin	43.9%	Good	Top 50% of sector (median: 39.1%)
Debt to Equity Ratio	114.1%	Adequate	Elevated but manageable
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)	30.5x	Adequate	Growth premium
Free Cash Flow Yield	0.9%	Red flag	Growth-focused valuation

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is Burlington Stores, Inc.'s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 18.2%. Sector median 8.1%. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Q: What is Burlington Stores, Inc.'s Free Cash Flow Margin?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) has a free cash flow margin of 1.5%, generating $171.6 million in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Q: What is Burlington Stores, Inc.'s P/E ratio and how does it compare to peers?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) trades at a P/E ratio of 30.5x, which is above the sector median of N/A. EV/Sales 1.7x. FCF yield 0.9%. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Q: How much debt does Burlington Stores, Inc. have?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.1x with total debt of $2.1 billion. Net debt $829.8 million. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Q: What is Burlington Stores, Inc.'s revenue and earnings growth?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) grew revenue by 8.8% year-over-year. EPS +21.9% YoY. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Q: Is Burlington Stores, Inc. buying back stock?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) repurchased $278.4 million of stock over the trailing twelve months. This represents a buyback yield of 1.5%. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

Q: How does Burlington Stores, Inc. compare to competitors in Consumer Discretionary?

Compared to other companies in Consumer Discretionary, Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) shows: ROIC 18.2%, sector median 8.1% (Top 25%). FCF margin 1.5%, sector median 2.2% (Bottom 50%). Gross margin 43.9%, 4.8pp above sector median. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Consumer Discretionary companies with available SEC filings.

Q: What warning signs should I watch for with Burlington Stores, Inc.?

Quantitative warning flags for Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL): 1) FCF margin 1.5% (below 5%). Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-25.

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Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-11-25. TTM metrics as of Q1 2026.

Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.

Scope: This analysis covers SEC filing fundamentals — profitability, cash flow, balance sheet, and valuation metrics. For analyst estimates and price targets, consult sell-side research.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.