Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) Factsheet

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Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) Stock Analysis

Analysis from 10-Q filed 2026-07-29. Data as of Q2 2026.

Overall Grade: F (Concerning)

Grade F (Concerning). ROIC 8.4%. FCF margin 20.3%. D/E 3.6x. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Metric Value Context
ROIC 8.4% Near cost of capital
FCF Margin 20.3% Strong cash generation
Debt/Equity 3.6x Elevated debt

ROIC 8.4% — Top 50% of sector peers. FCF margin 20.3% — Top 5%.

Explore Churchill Downs Inc: Earnings History | Filings

Programmatic access: Available via MCP at mcp.metricduck.com. Tools for CHDN: get_company_overview, get_filing_index (lens: debt_stress, management_outlook, risk_trajectory), get_filing_changes, get_metric_history, compare_companies, screen_filing_signals.


Profitability: Churchill Downs Inc earns 8.4% ROIC, Top 50% in Consumer Discretionary

ROIC TTM 8.4%, sector median 5.8%, Top 50%. DuPont: NOPAT margin 17.1% × asset turnover 0.4x. Gross margin 34.2%. Operating margin 24.1%. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Metric CHDN Rating Context
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.4% Adequate Above sector median of 5.8%
Return on Equity (ROE) 38.2% Excellent Efficient use of shareholder equity
Gross Margin 34.2% Good Competitive pricing environment
Operating Margin 24.1% Excellent Efficient operations

Cash Flow: Churchill Downs Inc generates $607.6M FCF at 20.3% margin, positive NaN/8 quarters

FCF TTM $607.6M. FCF margin 20.3%, Top 5%. OCF/Net income 1.9x. Positive FCF in NaN/8 trailing quarters. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Metric CHDN Rating Context
Free Cash Flow Margin 20.3% Excellent Excellent cash conversion
Free Cash Flow (TTM) $607.6M Good Positive cash generation
OCF/Net Income 1.9x Excellent High earnings quality
FCF Consistency (8Q) N/A Warning Variable cash flow

Balance Sheet: Churchill Downs Inc at 3.6x leverage, 2.5x interest coverage

Debt/Equity 3.6x. Total debt $4.8B, cash & investments $196.0M. Interest coverage 2.5x. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Metric CHDN Rating Context
Debt to Equity 3.6x Red flag Elevated leverage
Net Cash Position $-4.6B Warning Net debt position
Interest Coverage 2.5x Adequate Monitor debt obligations

Valuation: Churchill Downs Inc trades at 13.1x earnings

P/E 13.1x. EV/Sales 3.3x. FCF yield 11.4%. Dividend yield 0.6%. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Metric CHDN Rating Context
P/E Ratio 13.1x Adequate Reasonable valuation
EV/Sales 3.3x Good Growth premium priced in
FCF Yield 11.4% Excellent Attractive cash return
Dividend Yield 0.6% Adequate Growth focus over income

Capital Allocation: Churchill Downs Inc returns 2.2% shareholder yield, reducing shares 0.6% YoY

Total shareholder yield 2.2% (div 0.6% + buyback 1.6%). Share count -0.6% YoY. Capital returned $118.6M TTM. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Metric CHDN Rating Context
Total Shareholder Yield 2.2% Adequate Dividend + buyback yield combined
Buyback Yield 1.6% Adequate Minimal buyback activity
Share Count Change (YoY) -0.6% Adequate Net share reduction (accretive)
Total Capital Returned (TTM) $118.6M Good Dividends + buybacks returned to shareholders

Sector Rankings

Metric Value Percentile vs Median
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.4% Top 50% 1.5x above
Free Cash Flow Margin 20.3% Top 5% 5.8x above
Gross Margin 34.2% Bottom 50% 0.9x below
Operating Margin 24.1% Top 5% 6.0x above
Return on Equity (ROE) 38.2% Top 25% 3.8x above
P/E Ratio 13.1x N/A -

Financial Scorecard

Metric CHDN Rating Sector Context
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.4% Adequate Top 50% of sector (median: 5.8%)
Free Cash Flow Margin 20.3% Excellent Top 5% of sector (median: 3.5%)
Gross Margin 34.2% Good Bottom 50% of sector (median: 38.6%)
Debt to Equity Ratio 355.9% Red flag High financial leverage
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings) 13.1x Adequate Attractively valued
Free Cash Flow Yield 11.4% Excellent High cash return

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is Churchill Downs Inc's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 8.4%. The 8-quarter median ROIC is 6.8% with a improving trend. Sector median 5.8%. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Q: What is Churchill Downs Inc's Free Cash Flow Margin?

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) has a free cash flow margin of 20.3%, generating $607.6 million in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Q: What is Churchill Downs Inc's P/E ratio and how does it compare to peers?

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) trades at a P/E ratio of 13.1x, which is above the sector median of N/A. EV/Sales 3.3x. FCF yield 11.4%. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Q: Does Churchill Downs Inc pay a dividend?

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) currently pays a dividend yield of 0.6%. Total shareholder yield (dividend + buybacks) 2.2%. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Q: How much debt does Churchill Downs Inc have?

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.6x with total debt of $4.8 billion. Interest coverage 2.5x. Net debt $4.6 billion. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Q: What is Churchill Downs Inc's revenue and earnings growth?

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) grew revenue by 5.7% year-over-year. EPS +0.4% YoY. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Q: Is Churchill Downs Inc buying back stock?

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) repurchased $86.8 million of stock over the trailing twelve months. This represents a buyback yield of 1.6%. Share count -0.6% YoY. Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.

Q: How does Churchill Downs Inc compare to competitors in Consumer Discretionary?

Compared to other companies in Consumer Discretionary, Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) shows: ROIC 8.4%, sector median 5.8% (Top 50%). FCF margin 20.3%, sector median 3.5% (Top 5%). Gross margin 34.2%, 4.5pp below sector median. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Consumer Discretionary companies with available SEC filings.

Q: What warning signs should I watch for with Churchill Downs Inc?

Quantitative warning flags for Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN): 1) debt/equity 3.6x (above 1.5x threshold); 2) interest coverage 2.5x (below 5x). Source: 10-Q filed 2026-07-29.


Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2026-07-29. TTM metrics as of Q2 2026.

Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.

Scope: This analysis covers SEC filing fundamentals — profitability, cash flow, balance sheet, and valuation metrics. For analyst estimates and price targets, consult sell-side research.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.