GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) Earnings History

GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO - Q4 2025 EarningsMissed

Filed at: Feb 3, 2026, 8:15 AM EST|Read from source

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Graphic Packaging Holding Company reported a challenging year with declining net sales and net income, impacted by customer affordability issues and strategic inventory reduction efforts. The company is undertaking a comprehensive review of its operations and portfolio to improve its cost structure and drive free cash flow.

POSITIVE HIGHLIGHTS

  • •

    Fourth quarter Net Sales were basically flat at $2,103 million, versus $2,095 million in the same quarter last year, with a $40 million favorable impact from foreign exchange.

    neutral
  • •

    Full-year 2025 Net Sales decreased 2% to $8,617 million, versus $8,807 million in the prior year, with a $57 million favorable impact from foreign exchange.

    neutral
  • •

    Innovation Sales Growth was $213 million for the full year, representing approximately 2.5% of Net Sales.

    neutral
  • •

    Affirming 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow target of $700 million to $800 million.

    positive

CONCERNS & RISKS

  • •

    Full-year 2025 Net Income decreased to $444 million, versus $658 million in 2024, a decline of 32.5%.

    negative
  • •

    Full-year 2025 Net Sales decreased 2% to $8,617 million, versus $8,807 million in the prior year, driven by a $150 million negative impact from the 2024 divestiture and $97 million net decline in sales from packaging operations.

    negative
  • •

    Fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA was $311 million versus $404 million in the same quarter last year, a decline of 23%.

    negative
  • •

    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA decreased 17% to $1,395 million versus $1,682 million in the prior year.

    negative
  • •

    Fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA Margin was 14.8% in 2025, down from 19.3% in 2024.

    negative
  • •

    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA Margin was 16.2% in 2025, down from 19.1% in 2024.

    negative
  • •

    Total Debt increased to $5,592 million for full-year 2025 compared to $5,209 million for full-year 2024. Net Debt increased to $5,331 million compared to $5,052 million.

    negative
  • •

    The Company's 2025 Net Leverage Ratio was 3.8x compared to 3.0x for full-year 2024.

    negative
  • •

    2026 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $1.05 billion to $1.25 billion, reflecting a $130 million negative impact from actions taken to reduce inventory and generate free cash flow.

    attention
  • •

    Q3 2025 EPS was $0.48 (-12.7% YoY) and Operating Margin was 10.7% (-187 bps YoY).

    negative

FINANCIAL METRICS

Revenue
Quarterly
$2.10B
+0.4%
Prior year: $2.10B
Annual (YTD)
$8.62B
N/A
Prior year: $8.81B
Net Income
Quarterly
$71.00M
-48.5%
Prior year: $138.00M
Annual (YTD)
$444.00M
N/A
Prior year: $658.00M
EPS (Diluted)
Quarterly
$0.24
-47.8%
Prior year: $0.46
Operating Income
Quarterly
$156.00M
N/A
EPS (Basic)
Quarterly
$0.24
-47.8%
Prior year: $0.46

MARGIN ANALYSIS

Operating Margin
Current Quarter
7.4%
Prior Year
11.4%
YoY Change
-397 bps
Net Margin
Current Quarter
3.4%
Prior Year
6.6%
YoY Change
-321 bps

Margin expansion indicates improving profitability and operational efficiency. Measured in basis points (bps): 100 bps = 1.0%.

MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE

FY2026

revenue
$8400000.0B—$8600000.0B
Mid-point: $8500000.0B
Adjusted EBITDA
1,050,000,000—1,250,000,000
Mid-point: 1,150,000,000
"Reflects a $130 million negative impact from actions taken to reduce inventory and generate free cash flow, an approximately $100 million accrual (non-cash in 2026) for a return to more normal incentive compensation, January weather and production impacts, and other largely offsetting operating items."
Adjusted EPS
$0.75—$1.15
Mid-point: $0.95
Adjusted Free Cash Flow
700,000,000—800,000,000
Mid-point: 750,000,000
Capital Spending
450,000,000—450,000,000
Mid-point: 450,000,000

Forward-looking guidance is subject to change and does not constitute a guarantee. Actual results may differ materially from these estimates.

SPECIAL ITEMS & ADJUSTMENTS

Q4 2025
Net charge from non-recurring and special items and amortization of purchased intangibles
Adjusted Net Income was $85 million, or $0.29 per diluted share.
+$14M
$0.05 per share
Q4 2024
Net charge from non-recurring and special items and amortization of purchased intangibles
Adjusted Net Income was $179 million, or $0.59 per diluted share.
+$41M
$0.13 per share
FY 2025
Net charge from non-recurring and special items and amortization of purchased intangibles
Adjusted Net Income was $539 million, or $1.80 per diluted share.
+$95M
$0.31 per share
FY 2024
Net charge from non-recurring and special items and amortization of purchased intangibles
Adjusted Net Income was $759 million, or $2.49 per diluted share.
+$101M
$0.33 per share
Total Impact
+$251M$0.82 per share

Special items are non-recurring events that may distort period-over-period comparisons. Analysts typically adjust for these when calculating normalized earnings.

MANAGEMENT COMMENTARY

Consumer affordability created a challenging market for our customers and competitive pressure remains a near-term headwind.

— GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO, Q4 2025 2025 Earnings Call

As we move into 2026, our priorities are clear: drive operational excellence; deliver exceptional customer service; improve our cost structure; and drive substantial free cash flow to strengthen the balance sheet and return capital to shareholders.

— GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO, Q4 2025 2025 Earnings Call

I have initiated a comprehensive review of our organization structure, operations, and footprint, and a selective review of our portfolio to ensure that our resources are focused where we can create the greatest value for our shareholders.

— GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO, Q4 2025 2025 Earnings Call

Commentary excerpts from earnings call transcripts provide management's perspective on performance, strategy, and outlook. Always review full transcripts for complete context.

OPERATIONAL METRICS

Innovation Sales Growth
213.0M
dollars

Operational metrics provide insight into business drivers and customer engagement beyond traditional financial measures.