Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Stock Analysis
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Stock Analysis
Overall Grade: F (Concerning)
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Green Brick Partners, Inc. faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.
Key Metrics:
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 18.4% | Solid returns |
| FCF Margin | 9.9% | Healthy cash flow |
| Debt/Equity | 0.0x | Conservative leverage |
Investment Thesis: Strong return on invested capital of 18.4% suggests durable competitive advantages and efficient capital allocation.
What is Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s Profitability and ROIC?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. generates strong returns on invested capital at 18.4%, indicating efficient capital allocation and competitive advantages. Gross margin of 30.5% with operating margin at 19.5% reflects the company's moderate market position.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 18.4% | Good | Strong capital efficiency |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 18.0% | Good | Efficient use of shareholder equity |
| Gross Margin | 30.5% | Good | Competitive pricing environment |
| Operating Margin | 19.5% | Good | Efficient operations |
How Strong is Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s Cash Flow Quality?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. generated $208.4M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months, representing a 9.9% margin. FCF was positive in N/A of the last 8 quarters, indicating variable cash generation.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 9.9% | Adequate | Healthy cash generation |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $208.4M | Good | Positive cash generation |
| OCF/Net Income | 0.7x | Adequate | Potential accrual concerns |
| FCF Consistency (8Q) | N/A | Warning | Variable cash flow |
What is Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s Financial Health?
Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0x indicates conservative leverage.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity | 0.0x | Excellent | Conservative capital structure |
Is Green Brick Partners, Inc. Stock Overvalued or Undervalued?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.8x, representing a premium to the sector median of N/A. Free cash flow yield of 7.6% offers attractive cash returns.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 8.8x | Adequate | Reasonable valuation |
| EV/Sales | 1.2x | Excellent | Attractive revenue multiple |
| FCF Yield | 7.6% | Good | Attractive cash return |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% | Adequate | Growth focus over income |
Sector Rankings
| Metric | Value | Percentile | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 18.4% | Top 25% | 2.7x above |
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 9.9% | Top 25% | 11.9x above |
| Gross Margin | 30.5% | Top 50% | 1.2x above |
| Operating Margin | 19.5% | Top 25% | 2.3x above |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 18.0% | Top 50% | 2.2x above |
| P/E Ratio | 8.8x | N/A | - |
Rating Thresholds
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its debt and equity capital to generate profits. ROIC above 15% typically indicates a competitive moat.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Exceptional capital efficiency, strong competitive moat |
| Good | 12% - 20% | Above-average returns, sustainable competitive position |
| Adequate | 8% - 12% | Around cost of capital, moderate competitive position |
| Warning | 4% - 8% | Below cost of capital, value may be eroding |
| Red flag | < 4% | Significant capital destruction, fundamental issues |
Current: 18.4% (Good - Top 25% of sector (median: 6.8%))
Free Cash Flow Margin
The percentage of revenue converted to free cash flow. Higher margins indicate stronger cash generation and business quality.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Strong cash generation, high-quality business |
| Good | 10% - 20% | Healthy cash conversion |
| Adequate | 5% - 10% | Moderate cash generation |
| Warning | 0% - 5% | Thin cash margins, capital intensive |
| Red flag | < 0% | Cash burn, potential liquidity concerns |
Current: 9.9% (Adequate - Top 25% of sector (median: 0.8%))
Gross Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold as a percentage. Higher gross margins indicate pricing power and competitive advantage.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 50% | Strong pricing power and competitive moat |
| Good | 30% - 50% | Healthy margins, differentiated product |
| Adequate | 20% - 30% | Moderate margins, competitive industry |
| Warning | 10% - 20% | Thin margins, commodity-like business |
| Red flag | < 10% | Very thin margins, structural challenges |
Current: 30.5% (Good - Top 50% of sector (median: 25.8%))
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Lower ratios indicate more conservative financing and reduced financial risk.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 0.3x | Conservative leverage, strong balance sheet |
| Good | 0.3x - 0.7x | Moderate leverage, healthy financial position |
| Adequate | 0.7x - 1.5x | Elevated leverage, monitor closely |
| Warning | 1.5x - 3.0x | High leverage, increased financial risk |
| Red flag | > 3.0x | Excessive leverage, potential distress risk |
Current: 0.0% (Excellent)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)
Stock price divided by earnings per share. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation, while higher P/E suggests growth expectations.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 15x | Attractively valued, potential opportunity |
| Good | 15x - 25x | Fair value for quality company |
| Adequate | 25x - 35x | Growth premium, justify with earnings growth |
| Warning | 35x - 50x | High expectations priced in |
| Red flag | > 50x or negative | Speculative valuation or losses |
Current: 883.8% (Adequate)
Free Cash Flow Yield
Free cash flow per share divided by stock price. Higher FCF yield indicates better cash return relative to valuation.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 8% | High cash return, potential value opportunity |
| Good | 5% - 8% | Solid cash yield |
| Adequate | 3% - 5% | Moderate cash return |
| Warning | 1% - 3% | Low cash yield, growth expectations |
| Red flag | < 1% | Minimal cash return to shareholders |
Current: 7.6% (Good)
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 18.4%. This compares above the sector median of 6.8%. An ROIC between 12-20% indicates solid capital allocation and sustainable competitive position.
Q: What is Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s Free Cash Flow Margin?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) has a free cash flow margin of 9.9%, generating $208.4 million in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. A FCF margin between 5-10% is typical for capital-intensive businesses.
Q: Is Green Brick Partners, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) trades at a P/E ratio of 8.8x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 1.2x. Free cash flow yield is 7.6%, which represents an attractive cash return to investors.
Q: Does Green Brick Partners, Inc. pay a dividend?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) currently pays a dividend yield of 0.1%. Including share buybacks, the total shareholder yield is 3.1%. The relatively low yield suggests the company prioritizes growth reinvestment over income distribution.
Q: What is Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s revenue and earnings growth?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) declined revenue by 0.0% year-over-year. Earnings per share decreased by 16.3% compared to the prior year. Revenue decline may indicate market challenges or industry headwinds.
Q: Is Green Brick Partners, Inc. buying back stock?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) repurchased $83.4 million of stock over the trailing twelve months. This represents a buyback yield of 3.0%.
Q: How does Green Brick Partners, Inc. compare to competitors in Materials?
Compared to other companies in Materials, Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) shows: ROIC of 18.4% is above the sector median of 6.8% (Top 23%). FCF margin of 9.9% exceeds the sector median of 0.8% (Top 22% of sector). Gross margin at 30.5% is 4.7 percentage points higher than sector peers. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Materials companies with available SEC filings.
Q: What warning signs should I watch for with Green Brick Partners, Inc.?
Investors in Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) should monitor these potential warning signs: 1) ROIC has been declining, potentially signaling deteriorating competitive position. Regular monitoring of SEC filings and quarterly trends is recommended.
Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-10-29. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.
Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.