WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. (HCC) Earnings History

WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. - Q4 FY2025 Earnings

Filed at: Feb 12, 2026, 4:04 PM EST|Read from source

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Warrior Met Coal reported strong Q4 and full-year 2025 results, driven by record sales volumes and the commencement of operations at the Blue Creek mine, which is reshaping its production profile and cost structure. Despite challenging market conditions, the company achieved significant increases in net income and adjusted EBITDA, positioning it for substantial volume expansion and enhanced profitability in 2026.

POSITIVE HIGHLIGHTS

  • •

    Record quarterly sales volumes of 2.9 million short tons, including 881 thousand short tons from the new Blue Creek mine.

    positive
  • •

    Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) per short ton decreased by 22% to $93.53 in Q4 2025 from $119.55 in Q4 2024, driven by Blue Creek's lower cost structure.

    positive
  • •

    Net income increased significantly to $23.0 million ($0.44/share) in Q4 2025 from $1.1 million ($0.02/share) in Q4 2024.

    positive
  • •

    Adjusted EBITDA increased to $92.9 million in Q4 2025 from $53.2 million in Q4 2024.

    positive
  • •

    Raised volume guidance for 2026 due to solid operational performance by Blue Creek.

    positive

CONCERNS & RISKS

  • •

    Average net selling price decreased 16% year-over-year in Q4 2025 to $129.60 per short ton from $154.54 in Q4 2024.

    attention
  • •

    For the full year 2025, total revenues decreased 14% to $1.3 billion, driven by a 30% decrease in average net selling prices.

    negative
  • •

    Free cash flows were negative $28.3 million in Q4 2025, compared to negative $88.0 million in Q4 2024, primarily due to continued development of Blue Creek.

    negative
  • •

    Inventory levels increased to 1.6 million short tons as of December 31, 2025, compared to 1.1 million short tons as of September 30, 2025.

    attention
  • •

    Depreciation and depletion expenses increased to $56.4 million in Q4 2025 from $39.2 million in Q4 2024, primarily due to new assets at Blue Creek.

    attention

FINANCIAL METRICS

Revenue
Quarterly
$383.99B
+29.1%
Prior year: $297.46B
Annual (YTD)
$1310.04B
N/A
Prior year: $1525.22B
Net Income
Quarterly
$22.96B
+1919.1%
Prior year: $1.14B
Annual (YTD)
$57.00B
N/A
Prior year: $250.60B
EPS (Diluted)
Quarterly
$0.44
+2100.0%
Prior year: $0.02
Operating Income
Quarterly
$34.65B
N/A
Prior year: $-4.21B
Annual (YTD)
$45.71B
N/A
Prior year: $254.89B
EPS (Basic)
Quarterly
$0.44
+2100.0%
Prior year: $0.02

MARGIN ANALYSIS

Operating Margin
Current Quarter
9.0%
Prior Year
-1.4%
YoY Change
+1041 bps
Net Margin
Current Quarter
6.0%
Prior Year
0.4%
YoY Change
+560 bps

Margin expansion indicates improving profitability and operational efficiency. Measured in basis points (bps): 100 bps = 1.0%.

REVENUE BY SEGMENT — Q4 FY2025 2025

VISUAL OVERVIEW

|
Blue Creek Mine
0.0%
N/A

DETAILED BREAKDOWN

|
SegmentCurrentPrior YrYoY% Total
Blue Creek Mine
N/A———
Total Revenue$0.00M——100.0%

Segment performance shows business unit health and growth drivers.

MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE

FY2026

Coal sales
$12500000.0B—$13500000.0B
Mid-point: $13000000.0B
Coal production
12,000,000,000—13,000,000,000
Mid-point: 12,500,000,000
Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port)
$95.0M—$110.0M
Mid-point: $102.5M
"per short ton"
Capital expenditures for sustaining existing mines
105—115
Mid-point: 110
"million"
Capital expenditures for Blue Creek project
50—75
Mid-point: 62.5
"million"
Depreciation and depletion
225—250
Mid-point: 237.5
"million"
Selling, general and administrative expenses
75—85
Mid-point: 80
"million"
Interest expense
20—25
Mid-point: 22.5
"million"
Interest income
3—8
Mid-point: 5.5
"million"

Forward-looking guidance is subject to change and does not constitute a guarantee. Actual results may differ materially from these estimates.

MANAGEMENT COMMENTARY

Our team's disciplined execution in the fourth quarter and throughout 2025 delivered exceptional progress at Blue Creek.

— WARRIOR MET COAL, INC., Q4 FY2025 2025 Earnings Call

We are poised for a significant expansion in scale in 2026 as the early start of the Blue Creek longwall operation is already driving higher production, improved cost performance and record quarterly sales volumes.

— WARRIOR MET COAL, INC., Q4 FY2025 2025 Earnings Call

Even in these early stages of production and sales, Blue Creek's contributions to our financial results are having a notable impact – which we expect will only increase as the mine continues to ramp up toward full production.

— WARRIOR MET COAL, INC., Q4 FY2025 2025 Earnings Call

Commentary excerpts from earnings call transcripts provide management's perspective on performance, strategy, and outlook. Always review full transcripts for complete context.

OPERATIONAL METRICS

Average Net Selling Price
129.6
-16.1% YoY
Prior year: 154.5
USD/short ton
Cash Cost Of Sales Per Ton
93.5
-21.8% YoY
Prior year: 119.5
USD/short ton
Cash Margin Per Ton
36.1
+3.1% YoY
Prior year: 35.0
USD/short ton
Production Volume
3.4M
+60.9% YoY
Prior year: 2.1M
short tons
Sales Volume
2.9M
+52.8% YoY
Prior year: 1.9M
short tons

Operational metrics provide insight into business drivers and customer engagement beyond traditional financial measures.