Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Stock Analysis
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Stock Analysis
Overall Grade: F (Concerning)
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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.
Key Metrics:
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 29.0% | Above industry average |
| FCF Margin | 16.8% | Strong cash generation |
| Debt/Equity | -2.3x | Conservative leverage |
Investment Thesis: Strong return on invested capital of 29.0% suggests durable competitive advantages and efficient capital allocation.
What is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s Profitability and ROIC?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. generates strong returns on invested capital at 29.0%, indicating efficient capital allocation and competitive advantages.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 29.0% | Excellent | Strong capital efficiency |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -31.6% | Red flag | Moderate equity returns |
| Operating Margin | 22.4% | Excellent | Efficient operations |
How Strong is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s Cash Flow Quality?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. generated $2.0B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months, representing a 16.8% margin. Cash earnings quality is strong, with operating cash flow exceeding net income by 1.5x.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 16.8% | Good | Excellent cash conversion |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $2.0B | Good | Positive cash generation |
| OCF/Net Income | 1.5x | Excellent | High earnings quality |
| FCF Consistency (8Q) | N/A | Warning | Variable cash flow |
What is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s Financial Health?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s debt-to-equity ratio of -2.3x indicates conservative leverage.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity | -2.3x | Excellent | Conservative capital structure |
| Net Cash Position | $-11.4B | Warning | Net debt position |
Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Stock Overvalued or Undervalued?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.5x, representing a premium to the sector median of N/A. Free cash flow yield of 3.0% reflects market expectations for growth.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 46.5x | Adequate | Premium valuation |
| EV/Sales | 6.5x | Adequate | Growth premium priced in |
| FCF Yield | 3.0% | Adequate | Lower cash yield |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% | Adequate | Growth focus over income |
Sector Rankings
| Metric | Value | Percentile | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 29.0% | Top 25% | 4.5x above |
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 16.8% | Top 50% | 1.7x above |
| Operating Margin | 22.4% | Top 25% | 3.5x above |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -31.6% | Top 25% | -5.1x below |
| P/E Ratio | 46.5x | N/A | - |
Rating Thresholds
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its debt and equity capital to generate profits. ROIC above 15% typically indicates a competitive moat.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Exceptional capital efficiency, strong competitive moat |
| Good | 12% - 20% | Above-average returns, sustainable competitive position |
| Adequate | 8% - 12% | Around cost of capital, moderate competitive position |
| Warning | 4% - 8% | Below cost of capital, value may be eroding |
| Red flag | < 4% | Significant capital destruction, fundamental issues |
Current: 29.0% (Excellent - Top 25% of sector (median: 6.5%))
Free Cash Flow Margin
The percentage of revenue converted to free cash flow. Higher margins indicate stronger cash generation and business quality.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Strong cash generation, high-quality business |
| Good | 10% - 20% | Healthy cash conversion |
| Adequate | 5% - 10% | Moderate cash generation |
| Warning | 0% - 5% | Thin cash margins, capital intensive |
| Red flag | < 0% | Cash burn, potential liquidity concerns |
Current: 16.8% (Good - Top 50% of sector (median: 10.0%))
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Lower ratios indicate more conservative financing and reduced financial risk.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 0.3x | Conservative leverage, strong balance sheet |
| Good | 0.3x - 0.7x | Moderate leverage, healthy financial position |
| Adequate | 0.7x - 1.5x | Elevated leverage, monitor closely |
| Warning | 1.5x - 3.0x | High leverage, increased financial risk |
| Red flag | > 3.0x | Excessive leverage, potential distress risk |
Current: -229.0% (Excellent)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)
Stock price divided by earnings per share. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation, while higher P/E suggests growth expectations.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 15x | Attractively valued, potential opportunity |
| Good | 15x - 25x | Fair value for quality company |
| Adequate | 25x - 35x | Growth premium, justify with earnings growth |
| Warning | 35x - 50x | High expectations priced in |
| Red flag | > 50x or negative | Speculative valuation or losses |
Current: 46.5x (Adequate)
Free Cash Flow Yield
Free cash flow per share divided by stock price. Higher FCF yield indicates better cash return relative to valuation.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 8% | High cash return, potential value opportunity |
| Good | 5% - 8% | Solid cash yield |
| Adequate | 3% - 5% | Moderate cash return |
| Warning | 1% - 3% | Low cash yield, growth expectations |
| Red flag | < 1% | Minimal cash return to shareholders |
Current: 3.0% (Warning)
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 29.0%. This compares above the sector median of 6.5%. An ROIC above 20% indicates exceptional capital efficiency and strong competitive advantages.
Q: What is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s Free Cash Flow Margin?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a free cash flow margin of 16.8%, generating $2.0 billion in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. A FCF margin between 10-20% represents healthy cash generation for most industries.
Q: Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) trades at a P/E ratio of 46.5x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 6.5x. Free cash flow yield is 3.0%, reflecting growth expectations priced into the stock.
Q: Does Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. pay a dividend?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) currently pays a dividend yield of 0.2%. Including share buybacks, the total shareholder yield is 4.9%. The relatively low yield suggests the company prioritizes growth reinvestment over income distribution.
Q: What is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s revenue and earnings growth?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) grew revenue by 7.7% year-over-year. Earnings per share decreased by 0.2% compared to the prior year. Modest growth indicates a mature business with stable demand.
Q: Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. buying back stock?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) repurchased $3.2 billion of stock over the trailing twelve months. This represents a buyback yield of 4.7%.
Q: How does Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. compare to competitors in Technology?
Compared to other companies in Technology, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) shows: ROIC of 29.0% is above the sector median of 6.5% (Top 11%). FCF margin of 16.8% exceeds the sector median of 10.0% (Top 35% of sector). These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Technology companies with available SEC filings.
Q: What warning signs should I watch for with Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) shows no major financial warning signs based on current metrics. However, investors should always monitor: 1) Margin compression trends, 2) Cash flow consistency, 3) Debt levels relative to cash generation, and 4) Changes in competitive positioning.
Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-10-22. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.
Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.