ORACLE CORP (ORCL) Stock Analysis
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) Stock Analysis
Overall Grade: F (Concerning)
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ORACLE CORP faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.
Key Metrics:
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 188.1% | Above industry average |
| FCF Margin | -21.6% | Cash flow pressure |
| Debt/Equity | 0.0x | Conservative leverage |
Investment Thesis: Strong return on invested capital of 188.1% suggests durable competitive advantages and efficient capital allocation.
What is ORACLE CORP's Profitability and ROIC?
ORACLE CORP generates strong returns on invested capital at 188.1%, indicating efficient capital allocation and competitive advantages. Gross margin of 100.0% with operating margin at 30.3% reflects the company's strong market position.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 188.1% | Excellent | Strong capital efficiency |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 74.2% | Excellent | Efficient use of shareholder equity |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | Excellent | Strong pricing power |
| Operating Margin | 30.3% | Excellent | Efficient operations |
How Strong is ORACLE CORP's Cash Flow Quality?
ORACLE CORP generated $-13.2B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months, representing a -21.6% margin. Cash earnings quality is strong, with operating cash flow exceeding net income by 1.4x.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | -21.6% | Red flag | Thin cash margins |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-13.2B | Red flag | Cash burn |
| OCF/Net Income | 1.4x | Excellent | High earnings quality |
| FCF Consistency (8Q) | N/A | Warning | Variable cash flow |
What is ORACLE CORP's Financial Health?
ORACLE CORP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0x indicates conservative leverage.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity | 0.0x | Excellent | Conservative capital structure |
Is ORACLE CORP Stock Overvalued or Undervalued?
ORACLE CORP trades at a P/E of 37.1x, representing a premium to the sector median of N/A. Free cash flow yield of -2.3% reflects market expectations for growth.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 37.1x | Adequate | Premium valuation |
| EV/Sales | 8.5x | Adequate | Growth premium priced in |
| FCF Yield | -2.3% | Warning | Lower cash yield |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% | Adequate | Growth focus over income |
Sector Rankings
| Metric | Value | Percentile | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 188.1% | Top 5% | 18.1x above |
| Free Cash Flow Margin | -21.6% | Bottom 10% | -1.5x below |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | Top 25% | 1.7x above |
| Operating Margin | 30.3% | Top 25% | 3.0x above |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 74.2% | Top 5% | 8.1x above |
| P/E Ratio | 37.1x | N/A | - |
Rating Thresholds
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its debt and equity capital to generate profits. ROIC above 15% typically indicates a competitive moat.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Exceptional capital efficiency, strong competitive moat |
| Good | 12% - 20% | Above-average returns, sustainable competitive position |
| Adequate | 8% - 12% | Around cost of capital, moderate competitive position |
| Warning | 4% - 8% | Below cost of capital, value may be eroding |
| Red flag | < 4% | Significant capital destruction, fundamental issues |
Current: 188.1% (Excellent - Top 5% of sector (median: 10.4%))
Free Cash Flow Margin
The percentage of revenue converted to free cash flow. Higher margins indicate stronger cash generation and business quality.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Strong cash generation, high-quality business |
| Good | 10% - 20% | Healthy cash conversion |
| Adequate | 5% - 10% | Moderate cash generation |
| Warning | 0% - 5% | Thin cash margins, capital intensive |
| Red flag | < 0% | Cash burn, potential liquidity concerns |
Current: -21.6% (Red flag)
Gross Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold as a percentage. Higher gross margins indicate pricing power and competitive advantage.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 50% | Strong pricing power and competitive moat |
| Good | 30% - 50% | Healthy margins, differentiated product |
| Adequate | 20% - 30% | Moderate margins, competitive industry |
| Warning | 10% - 20% | Thin margins, commodity-like business |
| Red flag | < 10% | Very thin margins, structural challenges |
Current: 100.0% (Excellent - Top 25% of sector (median: 59.4%))
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Lower ratios indicate more conservative financing and reduced financial risk.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 0.3x | Conservative leverage, strong balance sheet |
| Good | 0.3x - 0.7x | Moderate leverage, healthy financial position |
| Adequate | 0.7x - 1.5x | Elevated leverage, monitor closely |
| Warning | 1.5x - 3.0x | High leverage, increased financial risk |
| Red flag | > 3.0x | Excessive leverage, potential distress risk |
Current: 0.0% (Excellent)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)
Stock price divided by earnings per share. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation, while higher P/E suggests growth expectations.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 15x | Attractively valued, potential opportunity |
| Good | 15x - 25x | Fair value for quality company |
| Adequate | 25x - 35x | Growth premium, justify with earnings growth |
| Warning | 35x - 50x | High expectations priced in |
| Red flag | > 50x or negative | Speculative valuation or losses |
Current: 37.1x (Adequate)
Free Cash Flow Yield
Free cash flow per share divided by stock price. Higher FCF yield indicates better cash return relative to valuation.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 8% | High cash return, potential value opportunity |
| Good | 5% - 8% | Solid cash yield |
| Adequate | 3% - 5% | Moderate cash return |
| Warning | 1% - 3% | Low cash yield, growth expectations |
| Red flag | < 1% | Minimal cash return to shareholders |
Current: -2.3% (Red flag)
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is ORACLE CORP's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 188.1%. This compares above the sector median of 10.4%. An ROIC above 20% indicates exceptional capital efficiency and strong competitive advantages.
Q: What is ORACLE CORP's Free Cash Flow Margin?
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) has a free cash flow margin of -21.6%, generating $-13.2 billion in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. Negative free cash flow means the company is consuming cash, which may require financing.
Q: Is ORACLE CORP stock overvalued or undervalued?
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) trades at a P/E ratio of 37.1x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 8.5x.
Q: Does ORACLE CORP pay a dividend?
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) currently pays a dividend yield of 0.9%. Including share buybacks, the total shareholder yield is 1.0%. The relatively low yield suggests the company prioritizes growth reinvestment over income distribution.
Q: What is ORACLE CORP's revenue and earnings growth?
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) grew revenue by 11.1% year-over-year. Earnings per share increased by 30.1% compared to the prior year. Solid growth above 10% suggests healthy business momentum.
Q: Is ORACLE CORP buying back stock?
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) repurchased $395.0 million of stock over the trailing twelve months. This represents a buyback yield of 0.1%.
Q: How does ORACLE CORP compare to competitors in Technology?
Compared to other companies in Technology, ORACLE CORP (ORCL) shows: ROIC of 188.1% is above the sector median of 10.4% (Top 0%). FCF margin of -21.6% trails the sector median of 14.5%. Gross margin at 100.0% is 40.6 percentage points higher than sector peers. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Technology companies with available SEC filings.
Q: What warning signs should I watch for with ORACLE CORP?
Investors in ORACLE CORP (ORCL) should monitor these potential warning signs: 1) FCF margin is thin at -21.6%, leaving limited buffer for economic downturns. Regular monitoring of SEC filings and quarterly trends is recommended.
Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-12-11. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.
Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.