Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Stock Analysis
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Stock Analysis
Overall Grade: F (Concerning)
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Philip Morris International Inc. faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.
Key Metrics:
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 36.5% | Above industry average |
| FCF Margin | 26.2% | Strong cash generation |
| Debt/Equity | -4.5x | Conservative leverage |
Investment Thesis: Strong return on invested capital of 36.5% suggests durable competitive advantages and efficient capital allocation.
What is Philip Morris International Inc.'s Profitability and ROIC?
Philip Morris International Inc. generates strong returns on invested capital at 36.5%, indicating efficient capital allocation and competitive advantages. Gross margin of 67.1% with operating margin at 36.6% reflects the company's strong market position.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 36.5% | Excellent | Strong capital efficiency |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -101.4% | Red flag | Moderate equity returns |
| Gross Margin | 67.1% | Excellent | Strong pricing power |
| Operating Margin | 36.6% | Excellent | Efficient operations |
How Strong is Philip Morris International Inc.'s Cash Flow Quality?
Philip Morris International Inc. generated $10.7B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months, representing a 26.2% margin. Cash earnings quality is strong, with operating cash flow exceeding net income by 1.1x.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 26.2% | Excellent | Excellent cash conversion |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $10.7B | Good | Positive cash generation |
| OCF/Net Income | 1.1x | Excellent | High earnings quality |
| FCF Consistency (8Q) | N/A | Warning | Variable cash flow |
What is Philip Morris International Inc.'s Financial Health?
Philip Morris International Inc.'s debt-to-equity ratio of -4.5x indicates conservative leverage.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity | -4.5x | Excellent | Conservative capital structure |
| Net Cash Position | $-40.4B | Warning | Net debt position |
Is Philip Morris International Inc. Stock Overvalued or Undervalued?
Philip Morris International Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.1x, representing a premium to the sector median of N/A. Free cash flow yield of 4.3% reflects market expectations for growth.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value | Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 22.1x | Adequate | Premium valuation |
| EV/Sales | 7.1x | Adequate | Growth premium priced in |
| FCF Yield | 4.3% | Good | Lower cash yield |
| Dividend Yield | 3.5% | Adequate | Meaningful income |
Sector Rankings
| Metric | Value | Percentile | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 36.5% | Top 5% | 5.0x above |
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 26.2% | Top 5% | 3.8x above |
| Gross Margin | 67.1% | Top 5% | 2.0x above |
| Operating Margin | 36.6% | Top 5% | 4.7x above |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -101.4% | Top 5% | -15.7x below |
| P/E Ratio | 22.1x | N/A | - |
Rating Thresholds
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its debt and equity capital to generate profits. ROIC above 15% typically indicates a competitive moat.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Exceptional capital efficiency, strong competitive moat |
| Good | 12% - 20% | Above-average returns, sustainable competitive position |
| Adequate | 8% - 12% | Around cost of capital, moderate competitive position |
| Warning | 4% - 8% | Below cost of capital, value may be eroding |
| Red flag | < 4% | Significant capital destruction, fundamental issues |
Current: 36.5% (Excellent - Top 5% of sector (median: 7.3%))
Free Cash Flow Margin
The percentage of revenue converted to free cash flow. Higher margins indicate stronger cash generation and business quality.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 20% | Strong cash generation, high-quality business |
| Good | 10% - 20% | Healthy cash conversion |
| Adequate | 5% - 10% | Moderate cash generation |
| Warning | 0% - 5% | Thin cash margins, capital intensive |
| Red flag | < 0% | Cash burn, potential liquidity concerns |
Current: 26.2% (Excellent - Top 5% of sector (median: 6.9%))
Gross Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold as a percentage. Higher gross margins indicate pricing power and competitive advantage.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 50% | Strong pricing power and competitive moat |
| Good | 30% - 50% | Healthy margins, differentiated product |
| Adequate | 20% - 30% | Moderate margins, competitive industry |
| Warning | 10% - 20% | Thin margins, commodity-like business |
| Red flag | < 10% | Very thin margins, structural challenges |
Current: 67.1% (Excellent - Top 5% of sector (median: 33.3%))
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Lower ratios indicate more conservative financing and reduced financial risk.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 0.3x | Conservative leverage, strong balance sheet |
| Good | 0.3x - 0.7x | Moderate leverage, healthy financial position |
| Adequate | 0.7x - 1.5x | Elevated leverage, monitor closely |
| Warning | 1.5x - 3.0x | High leverage, increased financial risk |
| Red flag | > 3.0x | Excessive leverage, potential distress risk |
Current: -453.3% (Excellent)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)
Stock price divided by earnings per share. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation, while higher P/E suggests growth expectations.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | < 15x | Attractively valued, potential opportunity |
| Good | 15x - 25x | Fair value for quality company |
| Adequate | 25x - 35x | Growth premium, justify with earnings growth |
| Warning | 35x - 50x | High expectations priced in |
| Red flag | > 50x or negative | Speculative valuation or losses |
Current: 22.1x (Adequate)
Free Cash Flow Yield
Free cash flow per share divided by stock price. Higher FCF yield indicates better cash return relative to valuation.
| Rating | Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent | > 8% | High cash return, potential value opportunity |
| Good | 5% - 8% | Solid cash yield |
| Adequate | 3% - 5% | Moderate cash return |
| Warning | 1% - 3% | Low cash yield, growth expectations |
| Red flag | < 1% | Minimal cash return to shareholders |
Current: 4.3% (Adequate)
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is Philip Morris International Inc.'s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 36.5%. This compares above the sector median of 7.3%. An ROIC above 20% indicates exceptional capital efficiency and strong competitive advantages.
Q: What is Philip Morris International Inc.'s Free Cash Flow Margin?
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) has a free cash flow margin of 26.2%, generating $10.7 billion in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. A FCF margin above 20% indicates excellent cash conversion and a high-quality business model.
Q: Is Philip Morris International Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued?
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) trades at a P/E ratio of 22.1x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 7.1x. Free cash flow yield is 4.3%, which is in line with market averages.
Q: Does Philip Morris International Inc. pay a dividend?
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) currently pays a dividend yield of 3.5%. Including share buybacks, the total shareholder yield is 3.5%. This yield is moderate, suggesting a balance between income and growth reinvestment.
Q: What is Philip Morris International Inc.'s revenue and earnings growth?
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) grew revenue by 7.3% year-over-year. Earnings per share increased by 60.8% compared to the prior year. Modest growth indicates a mature business with stable demand.
Q: How does Philip Morris International Inc. compare to competitors in Consumer Staples?
Compared to other companies in Consumer Staples, Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) shows: ROIC of 36.5% is above the sector median of 7.3% (Top 0%). FCF margin of 26.2% exceeds the sector median of 6.9% (Top 0% of sector). Gross margin at 67.1% is 33.9 percentage points higher than sector peers. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Consumer Staples companies with available SEC filings.
Q: What warning signs should I watch for with Philip Morris International Inc.?
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) shows no major financial warning signs based on current metrics. However, investors should always monitor: 1) Margin compression trends, 2) Cash flow consistency, 3) Debt levels relative to cash generation, and 4) Changes in competitive positioning.
Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-10-24. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.
Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.