The SBC Tax: Which Tech Giants Are Diluting Your Shareholder Returns?
Morgan Stanley estimates 99% of software FCF goes to stock-based compensation. But the impact varies dramatically: Snowflake's SBC is 14x higher than Amazon's as a percentage of revenue. Our Filing Intelligence analysis reveals which companies offset dilution - and which leave shareholders holding the bill.
The SBC Tax: Which Tech Giants Are Diluting Your Shareholder Returns?
Last Updated: December 16, 2025 Data Currency: FY2024/FY2025 10-K and Q3 2025 10-Q filings. SNOW, PLTR, META, NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, CRM
TL;DR: Stock-based compensation is the "silent tax" tech shareholders pay - but the rate varies 14x across companies. Snowflake's SBC consumes 41% of revenue (rated "concerning"). Palantir's 8.9% annual dilution means your shares are worth half in 8 years. Meanwhile, Alphabet spends $62B on buybacks vs $23B SBC, actually reducing share count. The biggest hidden number: Meta's $46.75 billion in unvested SBC liability - future dilution that's already committed.
Track SBC across your portfolio: MetricDuck's Filing Intelligence extracts SBC sustainability ratings, unvested liabilities, and dilution metrics from SEC filings - flagging companies where stock compensation threatens shareholder value. See it in action →
The Numbers: Stock-Based Compensation Across Big Tech
Morgan Stanley estimates that 99% of large-cap software free cash flow goes to stock-based compensation. When analysts celebrate "cash flow positive" SaaS companies, they're often ignoring that nearly all that cash gets recycled into offsetting employee dilution.
But the impact varies dramatically. Here's how seven major tech companies compare:
| Company | Revenue | SBC | SBC/Rev | Dilution | Buybacks | Sustainability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW | $3.63B | $1.48B | 41% | ~0% | $1.93B | Concerning |
| PLTR | $2.87B | $0.69B | 24% | 8.9% | $0.06B | Elevated |
| CRM | $36.5B | ~$3.2B | 8-9% | ~2% | ~$3B | Elevated |
| META | $164.5B | $16.69B | 10% | 3.2% | $30.12B | Elevated |
| GOOGL | $350.0B | $22.79B | 7% | 1.0% | $62.22B | Sustainable |
| NVDA | $130.5B | $4.74B | 4% | 1.0% | $33.71B | Sustainable |
| AMZN | $638.0B | $22.01B | 3% | 2.4% | N/A | Sustainable |
Source: FY2024/FY2025 SEC filings, MetricDuck Filing Intelligence analysis
The range is striking: Snowflake's 41% SBC/Revenue is 14 times higher than Amazon's 3%.
The Three Models of SBC Management
Our analysis reveals three distinct approaches to stock-based compensation:
Model 1: Pure Dilution (SNOW, PLTR)
The worst case for shareholders. These companies issue substantial equity compensation without meaningful buyback offsets.
Snowflake (SNOW):
- SBC sustainability rating: "Concerning"
- 41% of revenue goes to stock compensation
- Unvested SBC liability: $11.1 billion
- Started buybacks ($1.93B in FY2025) but still not covering dilution
- Operating income remains negative partly due to SBC burden
"Snowflake's stock-based compensation sustainability is rated 'concerning' by MetricDuck Filing Intelligence, with SBC consuming 36.4% of revenue."
- MetricDuck Filing Intelligence, Q1 FY2026
Palantir (PLTR):
- SBC sustainability rating: "Elevated"
- 24% SBC/Revenue - second highest among major tech
- 8.9% annual dilution rate - the highest in our analysis
- Minimal buybacks ($60M vs $690M SBC)
- At 8.9% annual dilution, shares are worth 50% less after 8 years
The math is brutal for Palantir shareholders: if you bought $10,000 in stock and the price stays flat, dilution alone makes your stake worth ~$5,000 after 8 years.
Model 2: Buyback Offset (META, GOOGL, NVDA)
The shareholder-friendly approach. These companies use substantial buybacks to offset - and often exceed - SBC dilution.
Alphabet (GOOGL):
- SBC sustainability: Sustainable
- $62.22B in buybacks vs $22.79B in SBC
- 2.7x buyback coverage ratio
- Net share count actually decreasing despite high absolute SBC
- Dilution rate: only 1.0%
NVIDIA (NVDA):
- SBC sustainability: Sustainable
- $33.71B in buybacks vs $4.74B in SBC
- 7.1x buyback coverage ratio - best in class
- SBC/Revenue dropped from 10% (FY2023) to 4% (FY2025) as revenue exploded
- Unvested SBC liability: $13.1 billion (manageable given scale)
Meta (META):
- SBC sustainability: Elevated (was "sustainable," recently upgraded to "elevated")
- $30.12B in buybacks vs $16.69B in SBC
- 1.8x buyback coverage ratio
- $46.75 billion in unvested SBC liability - the largest we found
- This unvested amount represents committed future dilution
The $46.75 billion Meta unvested liability deserves attention. This is compensation already granted but not yet vested - meaning this dilution is coming regardless of future grants. It's nearly 3x Meta's annual SBC expense.
Hidden liability alert: Meta's $46.75 billion in unvested stock-based compensation represents future dilution that's already committed - nearly 3x the company's annual SBC expense. This is compensation already granted to employees that will vest over coming years.
Model 3: Accumulating Dilution (AMZN)
The middle ground. Low SBC as percentage of revenue, but no buyback offset.
Amazon (AMZN):
- SBC sustainability: Sustainable (due to low ratio)
- Only 3% SBC/Revenue - lowest among peers
- But 2.4% annual dilution with no buyback program since 2022
- $22B annual SBC compounds without offset
- Share count growing from 10.19B (2022) to 10.72B (2024)
Amazon's approach is defensible given the low SBC/Revenue ratio, but shareholders should understand dilution is accumulating. Unlike Google or Meta, there's no mechanism to reverse share count growth.
The Hidden Number: Unvested SBC Liability
Most investors focus on annual SBC expense. The bigger story is unvested stock-based compensation - equity awards already granted that will vest (and dilute) over coming years.
| Company | Unvested SBC Liability | Multiple of Annual SBC | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| META | $46.75B | 2.8x | 10-K FY2024 |
| NVDA | $13.1B | 2.8x | 10-Q Q3 FY2025 |
| SNOW | $11.1B | 7.5x | 10-Q Q3 FY2026 |
| PLTR | $1.08B | 1.6x | 10-Q Q3 2025 |
Source: Filing Intelligence extraction from SEC 10-Q/10-K filings. Click source links to view stock compensation footnotes in MetricDuck viewer.
Meta's $46.75B unvested liability is remarkable - it represents nearly 3 years of current SBC expense already committed. Even if Meta stopped granting new awards today, this dilution is locked in.
Snowflake's ratio is concerning for a different reason: $11.1B in unvested awards on only $1.48B annual expense suggests a 7.5x multiple - massive future dilution relative to current operations.
What Filing Intelligence Reveals
Our Filing Intelligence extraction identifies SBC sustainability concerns that manual analysis often misses:
Red Flags Detected:
-
Salesforce (CRM): "Substantial stock-based compensation expense relative to revenue" flagged as top concern in Q3 FY2026 analysis
-
Snowflake (SNOW): "Concerning" sustainability rating with 36.4% SBC/Revenue - the highest we track
-
Palantir (PLTR): "Elevated" sustainability at 14.59% SBC/Revenue - 7x higher than NVIDIA despite smaller scale
-
NVIDIA (NVDA): Flagged for "Large increase in unvested stock-based compensation expense" as accounting red flag - though overall sustainability remains healthy due to buybacks
Positive Signals:
- NVIDIA: SBC/Revenue improved from 10% to 4% over three years as revenue scaled faster than compensation
- Alphabet: 2.7x buyback coverage means shareholders benefit from net share reduction
- Amazon: 3% SBC/Revenue is lowest among major tech, reducing dilution concern despite no buybacks
Historical Trends: Is It Getting Better or Worse?
Snowflake: Persistently High
| FY | Revenue | SBC | SBC/Rev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3.63B | $1.48B | 41% |
| 2024 | $2.81B | $1.17B | 42% |
| 2023 | $2.07B | $0.86B | 42% |
| 2022 | $1.22B | $0.61B | 50% |
Snowflake's SBC/Revenue has actually improved from 50% to 41% - but that's still astronomical. The company started buybacks in FY2025, suggesting management acknowledges the dilution problem.
NVIDIA: Dramatic Improvement
| FY | Revenue | SBC | SBC/Rev | Buybacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $130.5B | $4.74B | 4% | $33.71B |
| 2024 | $60.9B | $3.55B | 6% | $9.53B |
| 2023 | $27.0B | $2.71B | 10% | $10.04B |
NVIDIA's SBC story is one of scaling: as AI-driven revenue exploded from $27B to $130B, SBC as a percentage dropped from 10% to 4%. Combined with ramped buybacks ($34B in FY2025), NVIDIA went from potential concern to best-in-class.
Meta: Stable but Growing Liability
| FY | Revenue | SBC | SBC/Rev | Buybacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $164.5B | $16.69B | 10% | $30.12B |
| 2023 | $134.9B | $14.03B | 10% | $19.77B |
| 2022 | $116.6B | $11.99B | 10% | $27.96B |
Meta's SBC/Revenue has held steady at 10% for three years - not improving despite revenue growth. The $46.75B unvested liability suggests significant committed dilution, though substantial buybacks (~1.8x coverage) provide offset.
Investment Implications
Red Flags to Avoid
>15% SBC/Revenue without buyback offset
- SNOW at 41%, PLTR at 24% are concerning
- If buyback coverage is <1x, shareholders absorb the full dilution cost
High annual dilution rate (>5%)
- PLTR's 8.9% is the worst in our analysis
- Rule of thumb: >3% annual dilution should trigger deeper investigation
Growing unvested liability without revenue scaling
- Watch the ratio of unvested SBC to annual expense
-
5x multiple (like SNOW's 7.5x) suggests future dilution acceleration
Characteristics of Well-Managed SBC
SBC/Revenue <7% for mature companies
- NVDA (4%), AMZN (3%), GOOGL (7%) hit this benchmark
- For growth companies, <15% is acceptable if improving
Buyback coverage >1.5x
- GOOGL (2.7x), NVDA (7.1x), META (1.8x) offset dilution effectively
- Look for companies where net share count is flat or declining
Improving trends
- NVDA improved from 10% to 4% SBC/Revenue over 3 years
- Deteriorating ratios (or stable at high levels like META's 10%) warrant scrutiny
How MetricDuck Tracks SBC
Filing Intelligence extracts SBC metrics that aren't readily available elsewhere:
- SBC Sustainability Rating: "sustainable," "elevated," or "concerning" based on SBC/revenue ratio, dilution trends, and buyback coverage
- Unvested SBC Liability: The committed future dilution from awards already granted
- SBC Red Flags: Automatic detection of concerning patterns like "Substantial stock-based compensation expense relative to revenue"
- Dilution Analysis: Year-over-year share count changes with buyback offset calculations
The sustainability rating synthesizes multiple factors - a company can have high absolute SBC (like Alphabet's $23B) but rate "sustainable" if buybacks adequately offset dilution.
Methodology
Data Sources:
- SEC filings via MetricDuck XBRL extraction
stock_comp,sbc_to_revenue,dilution_rate,stock_repurchfromfiling_metrics- Filing Intelligence
sbc_analysisfromaccounting_qualitydimension - Unvested SBC liability from quarterly 10-Q note disclosures
Companies Analyzed:
- NVDA, META, GOOGL, AMZN, PLTR, SNOW, CRM
- FY2022-FY2025 data (varies by fiscal year end)
- CRM Filing Intelligence data with limited metrics history
Calculations:
- SBC/Revenue = Stock Compensation Expense / Total Revenue
- Dilution Rate = (Ending Diluted Shares - Beginning Diluted Shares) / Beginning Diluted Shares
- Buyback Coverage = Annual Buybacks / Annual SBC Expense
Key Takeaways
-
The SBC tax varies 14x: Snowflake (41%) vs Amazon (3%) shows how differently tech companies approach employee compensation
-
Buybacks matter: Alphabet's $62B buybacks turn $23B SBC into a net positive for shareholders. Palantir's $60M buybacks against $690M SBC means shareholders absorb 91% of dilution
-
Watch unvested liability: Meta's $46.75B and Snowflake's $11.1B in unvested SBC represent committed future dilution
-
Sustainability ratings reveal truth: "Concerning" (SNOW) and "elevated" (PLTR, CRM) ratings identify companies where SBC threatens shareholder value
-
Improvement is possible: NVIDIA went from 10% to 4% SBC/Revenue while ramping buybacks to $34B - demonstrating that growth companies can become shareholder-friendly over time
This analysis uses data extracted from SEC filings via MetricDuck's Filing Intelligence platform. All figures are from official company disclosures. SBC sustainability ratings are generated by Filing Intelligence algorithms based on multiple factors including SBC/revenue ratios, dilution trends, and buyback coverage.
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