CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) Stock Analysis
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) Stock Analysis
Analysis from 10-Q filed 2025-11-03. Data as of Q4 2025.
Overall Grade: F (Concerning)
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | N/A | Below expectations |
| FCF Margin | 48.9% | Strong cash generation |
| Debt/Equity | 0.4x | Conservative leverage |
Investment Thesis: Healthy free cash flow margin of 48.9% provides financial flexibility for growth and shareholder returns.
Explore CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP: Earnings History | Filing Intelligence | ROIC Analysis
Profitability: CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP earns N/A ROIC
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's trailing-twelve-month ROIC of N/A (sector median: 7.3%). Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-03.
| Metric | COF | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | N/A | Red flag | Below sector median of 7.3% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 2.3% | Warning | Moderate equity returns |
Cash Flow: CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP generates $26.1B FCF at 48.9% margin, positive NaN/8 quarters
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP generated $26.1B in free cash flow (TTM), a 48.9% FCF margin, a margin that ranks Top 25% in Financials. Operating cash flow exceeds net income by 13.0x, indicating high earnings quality. FCF was positive in N/A of the last 8 quarters. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-03.
| Metric | COF | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 48.9% | Excellent | Excellent cash conversion |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $26.1B | Good | Positive cash generation |
| OCF/Net Income | 13.0x | Excellent | High earnings quality |
| FCF Consistency (8Q) | N/A | Warning | Variable cash flow |
Balance Sheet: CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP at 0.4x leverage
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4x reflects moderate leverage. Net cash position of $11.1B provides financial flexibility. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-03.
| Metric | COF | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity | 0.4x | Good | Conservative capital structure |
| Net Cash Position | $11.1B | Excellent | Net cash positive |
Valuation: CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP trades at 69.0x earnings
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP trades at a P/E of 69.0x. Free cash flow yield of 19.9% offers attractive cash returns relative to price.
| Metric | COF | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 69.0x | Warning | Premium valuation |
| EV/Sales | 2.3x | Good | Attractive revenue multiple |
| FCF Yield | 19.9% | Excellent | Attractive cash return |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% | Adequate | Growth focus over income |
Capital Allocation: CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP returns 4.2% shareholder yield
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's total shareholder yield is 4.2% (dividends 1.1% + buybacks 3.1%). Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-03.
| Metric | COF | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shareholder Yield | 4.2% | Good | Dividend + buyback yield combined |
| Buyback Yield | 3.1% | Good | Active share repurchases |
| Total Capital Returned (TTM) | $5.9B | Good | Dividends + buybacks returned to shareholders |
Sector Rankings
| Metric | Value | Percentile | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 48.9% | Top 25% | 2.3x above |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 2.3% | Bottom 10% | 0.2x below |
| P/E Ratio | 69.0x | N/A | - |
Financial Scorecard
| Metric | COF | Rating | Sector Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | 48.9% | Excellent | Top 25% of sector (median: 21.7%) |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 44.9% | Good | Moderate leverage |
| P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings) | 69.0x | Warning | High expectations priced in |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 19.9% | Excellent | High cash return |
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of N/A. This compares below the sector median of 7.3%. An ROIC below 8% suggests the company may be destroying shareholder value.
Q: What is CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's Free Cash Flow Margin?
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) has a free cash flow margin of 48.9%, generating $26.1 billion in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. A FCF margin above 20% indicates excellent cash conversion and a high-quality business model.
Q: Is CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP stock overvalued or undervalued?
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) trades at a P/E ratio of 69.0x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 2.3x. Free cash flow yield is 19.9%, which represents an attractive cash return to investors.
Q: Does CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP pay a dividend?
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) currently pays a dividend yield of 1.1%. Including share buybacks, the total shareholder yield is 4.2%. The relatively low yield suggests the company prioritizes growth reinvestment over income distribution.
Q: What is CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's revenue and earnings growth?
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) grew revenue by 36.6% year-over-year. Earnings per share decreased by 69.8% compared to the prior year. Double-digit revenue growth indicates strong demand and market share gains.
Q: Is CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP buying back stock?
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) repurchased $4.1 billion of stock over the trailing twelve months. This represents a buyback yield of 3.1%.
Q: How does CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP compare to competitors in Financials?
Compared to other companies in Financials, CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) shows: ROIC of N/A is below the sector median of 7.3% (NaNx median). FCF margin of 48.9% exceeds the sector median of 21.7% (Top 12% of sector). These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Financials companies with available SEC filings.
Q: What warning signs should I watch for with CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP?
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) shows no major financial warning signs based on current metrics. However, investors should always monitor: 1) Margin compression trends, 2) Cash flow consistency, 3) Debt levels relative to cash generation, and 4) Changes in competitive positioning.
Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-11-03. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.
Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.
Scope: This analysis covers SEC filing fundamentals — profitability, cash flow, balance sheet, and valuation metrics. For analyst estimates and price targets, consult sell-side research.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.