TTD
Trade Desk, Inc.
Technology • CIK: 0001671933
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Market Cap
$18.54B
P/E (TTM)
41.7x
Rev Growth (TTM)
+18.5%
Net Margin (TTM)
15.3%
FCF Yield (TTM)
4.3%
FCF Margin (TTM)
27.5%
Filing Intelligence
5.0/10
10-K filed Feb 27, 2026 • FY
Executive Summary
Substantial share repurchases totaling $1.4 billion were completed in 2025, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns and offsetting dilution.. The company has significant non-cancelable...
Key Concerns
- ●Management expresses confidence in meeting short-term liquidity needs through existing cash, operating cash flow, and credit facilities,...
- ●Company reports revenue net of supplier costs, requiring significant judgment in principal vs. agent assessment.
- ●Increase in accounts receivable suggests potential cash collection timing issues or aggressive revenue recognition.
Key Strengths
- ●The company generated strong operating cash flow in 2025, exceeding net income, but experienced a significant increase in accounts...
- ●Capital expenditures are focused on growth, particularly in expanding hosting capabilities and developing platform enhancements, indicating...
Cash Flow Health
Free Cash Flow8/8 positive
TTM$796M
Q4 '25
$285M+80%
Q3 '25
$158M+32%
FCF Margin
TTM27.5%
Q4 '2533.7%+57%
Sector: 9.1%Top 25%
OCF Margin34.3%
OCF/NI2.24x
CapEx Coverage5.0x
FCF Yield4.3%
FCF Growth (2Y)+20%
Cash Conversion Cycle
-1158 days
DSO: 420+DIO: 0−DPO: 1578
Capital Allocation & Returns
Shareholder Friendly
Total Shareholder YieldTTM
TTM7.4%
Div Yield0.0%
+Buyback (TTM)7.4%
Strong capital returns to shareholders
Dividend & Payout Metrics
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.0%
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$795.7M
Stock Repurchases (TTM)$1.4B
Capital Return / FCF173.5%
Est. Dividends Paid (TTM)$0
Shows how management rewards shareholders
Operational Efficiency & Returns
Return on Invested CapitalTTM
14.5%
Moderate
+0.0% YoY+12.5%
P25MedianP75
75th pctl (med: 0.1%)
DuPont BreakdownROIC = Margin × Turn × (1+D/E)
NOPAT Margin
13.7%
8Q: 12.5%
Asset Turnover
0.49x
8Q: 0.48x
Leverage (1+D/E)
1.00x
D/E: 0.00x
DuPont: 6.7% ≈ 14.5% ROIC
Asset & CapEx Efficiency
Fixed Asset Turn
9.76x
8Q:11.65x
-471.6%
Invested Cap Turn
1.06x
8Q:1.02x
+21.9%
CapEx Intensity
7.2%
8Q:5.3%
CapEx/Depreciation
1.70x
Depreciation Rate Trend
⚠ Declining -4.5%
Asset-based ROIC formula
QUARTERLY TRENDS
Last 8 quarters + TTM
| Metric | TTM | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $2.9B | $846.8M↑14.5% | $739.4M↑6.5% | $694.0M↑12.7% | $616.0M↓16.9% | $741.0M↑18.0% | $628.0M↑7.4% | $584.5M↑19.0% | $491.3M |
Operating Income | $589.3M | $256.9M↑59.3% | $161.2M↑38.1% | $116.8M↑114.5% | $54.5M↓72.1% | $195.3M↑80.0% | $108.5M↑14.5% | $94.7M↑230.5% | $28.7M |
Net Income | $443.3M | $186.9M↑61.8% | $115.5M↑28.2% | $90.1M↑77.8% | $50.7M↓72.2% | $182.2M↑93.5% | $94.2M↑10.7% | $85.0M↑168.6% | $31.7M |
Operating Cash Flow | $992.7M | $311.6M↑38.7% | $224.7M↑36.2% | $165.0M↓43.4% | $291.4M↑46.2% | $199.4M↓27.0% | $273.3M↑236.4% | $81.3M↓56.2% | $185.5M |
Free Cash Flow | $795.7M | $285.3M↑80.1% | $158.3M↑32.2% | $119.8M↓48.4% | $232.3M↑29.6% | $179.2M↓20.2% | $224.6M↑279.8% | $59.1M↓66.8% | $178.2M |
Total Equity | N/A |
Valuation Analysis
Fair Value
Price-to-EarningsTTM
41.7x
Volatile
8Q: 473.6x-97260%
Valuation Lenses
Earnings
41.7x
vs – sector
Cash Flow
21.3x
EV/FCF vs –
Growth-Adj
3.0xPEG
Expensive for growth
Quality-Adj
2.9P/E per %ROIC
ROIC: 14.5%
Shareholder Returns
Dividend
–
Buyback
7.4%
Total Yield
7.4%
Market Cap$18.54B
EV$16.91B
Multi-angle valuation analysis with sector context
Business Quality & Moat
Overall Quality Score
79/100
High Quality
Composite score: Returns (40%) + Consistency (30%) + Earnings Quality (30%)
Returns on Capital
Return on Equity (ROE)Above Avg
16.5%
8Q:–
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)Top 25%
14.5%
8Q:–
+12.5%
vs Sector:0.1%
DuPont Analysis (ROIC = NOPAT Margin × Asset Turnover)
NOPAT Margin: 13.7%
Asset Turnover: 0.49x
Earnings Quality
Cash Conversion
2.24x
OCF / Net Income ✓
FCF Consistency
–
Positive quarters
Competitive Moat Indicators
Pricing Power
Gross Margin78.6%
Capital Efficiency
Invested Capital Turnover1.06x
Working Capital
Cash Conversion Cycle-1158 days
Growth Quality & Momentum
Quality Growth
Growth Quality Score
78/100
Growth 40%
Margins 30%
FCF 20%
Consistency 10%
Growth Rates
Revenue Growth YoY
18.5%
OpInc Growth YoY
31.5%
EPS Growth YoY
14.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR
19.6%
Growth Quality Analysis
✓Sustainability Index: 7.5/10 - Highly sustainable growth
Margin Quality & Sustainability
Low Quality
Profitability Cascade
Gross
78.6%
Operating
20.3%
Top 25% in sector
Net
15.3%
Margins Unknown
Earnings Quality Signals
SBC / Revenue
—
FCF vs Net Gap
+12.2 pts
FCF: 27.5% | Net: 15.3%
Quality = stability + cash conversion + low dilution
Balance Sheet & Solvency
Fortress
Net Debt / EBITDA
Net Cash
(0.0x)Net Cash: $1.30B
Interest Coverage
–
+Net cash position: $1.30B
Balance sheet risk & solvency analysis