COP
CONOCOPHILLIPS
Energy • CIK: 0001163165
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Market Cap
$117.84B
P/E (TTM)
13.4x
Rev Growth (TTM)
+8.2%
Net Margin (TTM)
14.8%
FCF Yield (TTM)
16.9%
FCF Margin (TTM)
33.3%
Cash Flow Health
Free Cash Flow8/8 positive
TTM$19.9B
Q3 '25
$5.9B+69%
Q2 '25
$3.5B-43%
FCF Margin
TTM33.3%
Q3 '2539.1%+57%
Sector: 6.0%Above Avg
OCF Margin33.3%
OCF/NI2.26x
CapEx Coverage–
FCF Yield16.9%
FCF Growth (2Y)-10%
Cash Conversion Cycle
-46 days
DSO: 29+DIO: 29−DPO: 105
Capital Allocation & Returns
Shareholder Friendly
Total Shareholder YieldTTM
TTM8.3%
Div Yield3.3%
+Buyback (TTM)5.0%
Strong capital returns to shareholders
Dividend & Payout Metrics
Dividend Yield (TTM)3.3%
FCF Payout Ratio19.5%
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$19.9B
Stock Repurchases (TTM)$5.9B
Capital Return / FCF49.2%
Est. Dividends Paid (TTM)$3.9B
Shows how management rewards shareholders
Operational Efficiency & Returns
Return on Invested CapitalTTM
38.7%
Moderate
-0.1% YoY-14.7%
P25MedianP75
75th pctl (med: 0.1%)
DuPont BreakdownROIC = Margin × Turn × (1+D/E)
NOPAT Margin
61.6%
8Q: 53.8%
Asset Turnover
0.50x
8Q: 0.54x
Leverage (1+D/E)
1.36x
D/E: 0.36x
DuPont: 41.9% ≈ 38.7% ROIC
Asset & CapEx Efficiency
Fixed Asset Turn
0.65x
8Q:0.72x
-24.2%
Invested Cap Turn
0.63x
8Q:0.69x
-20.1%
Asset-based ROIC formula
QUARTERLY TRENDS
Last 8 quarters + TTM
| Metric | TTM | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | Q4 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $59.8B | $15.0B↑7.3% | $14.0B↓15.2% | $16.5B↑16.0% | $14.2B↑9.2% | $13.0B↓4.3% | $13.6B↓1.6% | $13.8B↓6.0% | $14.7B |
Operating Income | $49.8B | $12.4B↑8.5% | $11.4B↓18.4% | $14.0B↑17.5% | $11.9B↑10.6% | $10.8B↓5.9% | $11.5B↓3.2% | $11.8B↓6.8% | $12.7B |
Net Income | $8.8B | $1.7B↓12.4% | $2.0B↓30.8% | $2.8B↑23.5% | $2.3B↑12.1% | $2.1B↓11.6% | $2.3B↓8.7% | $2.5B↓15.2% | $3.0B |
Operating Cash Flow | $19.9B | $5.9B↑68.7% | $3.5B↓43.0% | $6.1B↑37.2% | $4.5B↓22.7% | $5.8B↑17.2% | $4.9B↓1.3% | $5.0B↓5.3% | $5.3B |
Free Cash Flow | $19.9B | $5.9B↑68.7% | $3.5B↓43.0% | $6.1B↑37.2% | $4.5B↓22.7% | $5.8B↑17.2% | $4.9B↓1.3% | $5.0B↓5.3% | $5.3B |
Total Equity | N/A |
Valuation Analysis
Fair Value
Price-to-EarningsTTM
13.4x
Volatile
8Q: 57.5x+933%
Multiple expansion without fundamental improvement
Valuation Lenses
Earnings
13.4x
vs – sector
Cash Flow
11.9x
EV/FCF vs –
Growth-Adj
1.6xPEG
Fair for growth
Quality-Adj
0.3P/E per %ROIC
ROIC: 38.7%
Shareholder Returns
Dividend
3.3%
Buyback
5.0%
Total Yield
8.3%
Market Cap$117.84B
EV–
Multi-angle valuation analysis with sector context
Business Quality & Moat
Overall Quality Score
84/100
Exceptional
Composite score: Returns (40%) + Consistency (30%) + Earnings Quality (30%)
Returns on Capital
Return on Equity (ROE)Above Avg
14.0%
8Q:–
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)Top 25%
38.7%
8Q:–
-14.7%
vs Sector:0.1%
DuPont Analysis (ROIC = NOPAT Margin × Asset Turnover)
NOPAT Margin: 61.6%
Asset Turnover: 0.50x
Earnings Quality
Cash Conversion
2.26x
OCF / Net Income ✓
FCF Consistency
–
Positive quarters
Competitive Moat Indicators
Pricing Power
Gross Margin62.9%
Capital Efficiency
Invested Capital Turnover0.63x
Working Capital
Cash Conversion Cycle-46 days
Growth Quality & Momentum
Moderate Growth
Growth Quality Score
53/100
Growth 40%
Margins 30%
FCF 20%
Consistency 10%
Growth Rates
Revenue Growth YoY
8.2%
OpInc Growth YoY
15.0%
EPS Growth YoY
-15.9%
FCF 3Y CAGR
-10.3%
Growth Quality Analysis
⚠Working Capital Drag: FCF growth lagging revenue by 18.5%
⚠Sustainability Index: 3.0/10 - Growth sustainability concerns
Margin Quality & Sustainability
Low Quality
Profitability Cascade
Gross
62.9%
Operating
83.2%
Top 25% in sector
Net
14.8%
Margins Unknown
Earnings Quality Signals
SBC / Revenue
—
FCF vs Net Gap
+18.6 pts
FCF: 33.3% | Net: 14.8%
Quality = stability + cash conversion + low dilution
Balance Sheet & Solvency
Adequate
Net Debt / EBITDA
–Net Debt: $16.89B
Interest Coverage
–
Leverage Metrics
Debt-to-Equity
0.36x
Balance sheet risk & solvency analysis