GXO
GXO Logistics, Inc.
Transportation • CIK: 0001852244
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Market Cap
$6.18B
P/E (TTM)
67.8x
Rev Growth (TTM)
+16.9%
Net Margin (TTM)
0.7%
FCF Yield (TTM)
1.2%
FCF Margin (TTM)
0.6%
Cash Flow Health
Free Cash Flow5/8 positive
TTM$77M
Q3 '25
$88M+300%
Q2 '25
$-44M+10%
FCF Margin
TTM0.6%
Q3 '252.6%+294%
Sector: 4.3%Below Avg
OCF Margin3.5%
OCF/NI5.06x
CapEx Coverage1.2x
FCF Yield1.2%
FCF Growth (2Y)-29%
Cash Conversion Cycle
54 days
DSO: 54+DIO: –−DPO: –
Capital Allocation & Returns
Balanced
Total Shareholder YieldTTM
TTM3.2%
Div Yield0.0%
+Buyback (TTM)3.2%
Balancing returns with reinvestment
Dividend & Payout Metrics
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.0%
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$77.0M
Stock Repurchases (TTM)$200.0M
Capital Return / FCF259.7%
Est. Dividends Paid (TTM)$0
Shows how management rewards shareholders
Operational Efficiency & Returns
Return on Invested CapitalTTM
2.3%
Stable
-0.2% YoY-0.3%
P25MedianP75
75th pctl (med: 0.1%)
DuPont BreakdownROIC = Margin × Turn × (1+D/E)
NOPAT Margin
1.3%
8Q: 2.0%
Asset Turnover
1.11x
8Q: 1.11x
Leverage (1+D/E)
1.74x
D/E: 0.74x
DuPont: 2.6% ≈ 2.3% ROIC
Asset & CapEx Efficiency
Fixed Asset Turn
10.73x
8Q:11.04x
-15.0%
Invested Cap Turn
1.69x
8Q:1.63x
+17.6%
CapEx Intensity
4.9%
8Q:4.7%
CapEx/Depreciation
0.83x
Asset-based ROIC formula
QUARTERLY TRENDS
Last 8 quarters + TTM
| Metric | TTM | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | Q4 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $12.9B | $3.4B↑2.9% | $3.3B↑10.8% | $3.0B↓8.4% | $3.3B↑2.9% | $3.2B↑10.9% | $2.8B↑15.9% | $2.5B↓5.2% | $2.6B |
Operating Income | $252.0M | $118.0M↑32.6% | $89.0M↑258.9% | $-56.0M↓155.4% | $101.0M↑24.7% | $81.0M↑8.0% | $75.0M↑292.3% | $-39.0M↓144.8% | $87.0M |
Net Income | $89.0M | $59.0M↑126.9% | $26.0M↑127.1% | $-96.0M↓196.0% | $100.0M↑203.0% | $33.0M↓13.2% | $38.0M↑202.7% | $-37.0M↓150.7% | $73.0M |
Operating Cash Flow | $450.0M | $232.0M↑7633.3% | $3.0M↓89.7% | $29.0M↓84.4% | $186.0M↓6.1% | $198.0M↑72.2% | $115.0M↑130.0% | $50.0M↓76.7% | $215.0M |
Free Cash Flow | $77.0M | $88.0M↑300.0% | $-44.0M↑10.2% | $-49.0M↓159.8% | $82.0M↓21.2% | $104.0M↑285.2% | $27.0M↑217.4% | $-23.0M↓115.8% | $146.0M |
Total Equity | N/A |
Valuation Analysis
Fair Value
Price-to-EarningsTTM
67.8x
Volatile
8Q: 100.2x+9958%
Multiple expansion without fundamental improvement
High PEG ratio (4.0x) suggests expensive for growth
Valuation Lenses
Earnings
67.8x
vs – sector
Cash Flow
107.9x
EV/FCF vs –
Growth-Adj
4.0xPEG
Expensive for growth
Quality-Adj
29.8P/E per %ROIC
ROIC: 2.3%
Shareholder Returns
Dividend
–
Buyback
3.2%
Total Yield
3.2%
Market Cap$6.18B
EV$8.31B
Multi-angle valuation analysis with sector context
Business Quality & Moat
Overall Quality Score
60/100
High Quality
Composite score: Returns (40%) + Consistency (30%) + Earnings Quality (30%)
Returns on Capital
Return on Equity (ROE)Below Avg
3.0%
8Q:–
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)Top 25%
2.3%
8Q:–
Flat
vs Sector:0.1%
DuPont Analysis (ROIC = NOPAT Margin × Asset Turnover)
NOPAT Margin: 1.3%
Asset Turnover: 1.11x
Earnings Quality
Cash Conversion
5.06x
OCF / Net Income ✓
FCF Consistency
–
Positive quarters
Competitive Moat Indicators
Pricing Power
Gross Margin–
Capital Efficiency
Invested Capital Turnover1.69x
Working Capital
Cash Conversion Cycle54 days
Growth Quality & Momentum
Moderate Growth
Growth Quality Score
57/100
Growth 40%
Margins 30%
FCF 20%
Consistency 10%
Growth Rates
Revenue Growth YoY
16.9%
OpInc Growth YoY
45.7%
EPS Growth YoY
-14.4%
FCF 3Y CAGR
-28.5%
Growth Quality Analysis
⚠Working Capital Drag: FCF growth lagging revenue by 45.5%
Margin Quality & Sustainability
Moderate
Profitability Cascade
Gross
—
Operating
2.0%
Below Avg in sector
Net
0.7%
Margins Unknown
Earnings Quality Signals
SBC / Revenue
—
FCF vs Net Gap
-0.1 pts
FCF: 0.6% | Net: 0.7%
Quality = stability + cash conversion + low dilution
Balance Sheet & Solvency
Adequate
Net Debt / EBITDA
–Net Debt: $1.83B
Interest Coverage
–
Leverage Metrics
Debt-to-Equity
0.74x
Balance sheet risk & solvency analysis