INTEL CORP (INTC) Stock Analysis
INTEL CORP (INTC) Stock Analysis
Analysis from 10-Q filed 2025-11-06. Data as of Q4 2025.
Overall Grade: F (Concerning)
INTEL CORP faces challenges in financial performance that warrant careful analysis.
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -0.0% | Below expectations |
| FCF Margin | -9.4% | Cash flow pressure |
| Debt/Equity | 0.4x | Conservative leverage |
Investment Thesis: Financial metrics indicate concerning business quality with areas requiring attention.
Explore INTEL CORP: Earnings History | Filing Intelligence | ROIC Analysis
Profitability: INTEL CORP earns -0.0% ROIC, Bottom 50% in Technology
INTEL CORP's trailing-twelve-month ROIC of -0.0% ranks Bottom 50% in Technology companies (sector median: 5.2%), driven by NOPAT margin of -0.1% combined with asset turnover of 0.3x. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-06. Gross margin of 34.8% with operating margin at -4.2% reflects a competitive pricing environment.
| Metric | INTC | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -0.0% | Red flag | Below sector median of 5.2% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -0.3% | Red flag | Moderate equity returns |
| Gross Margin | 34.8% | Good | Competitive pricing environment |
| Operating Margin | -4.2% | Warning | Moderate operational efficiency |
Cash Flow: INTEL CORP generates $-4.9B FCF at -9.4% margin, positive NaN/8 quarters
INTEL CORP generated $-4.9B in free cash flow (TTM), a -9.4% FCF margin. FCF was positive in N/A of the last 8 quarters. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-06.
| Metric | INTC | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow Margin | -9.4% | Red flag | Thin cash margins |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-4.9B | Red flag | Cash burn |
| OCF/Net Income | -36.3x | Warning | Potential accrual concerns |
| FCF Consistency (8Q) | N/A | Warning | Variable cash flow |
Balance Sheet: INTEL CORP at 0.4x leverage
INTEL CORP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4x reflects moderate leverage. Total debt of $46.6B offset by $37.9B in cash. Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-06.
| Metric | INTC | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Equity | 0.4x | Good | Conservative capital structure |
| Net Cash Position | $-8.7B | Warning | Net debt position |
Valuation: INTEL CORP trades at -402.2x earnings
INTEL CORP trades at a P/E of -402.2x. Free cash flow yield of -3.0% reflects market expectations for growth.
| Metric | INTC | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -402.2x | Red flag | Reasonable valuation |
| EV/Sales | 3.5x | Good | Growth premium priced in |
| FCF Yield | -3.0% | Warning | Lower cash yield |
Capital Allocation: INTEL CORP returns 0.0% shareholder yield
INTEL CORP's total shareholder yield is 0.0% (dividends + buybacks). Source: 10-Q filed 2025-11-06.
| Metric | INTC | Rating | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shareholder Yield | 0.0% | Warning | Dividend + buyback yield combined |
| Total Capital Returned (TTM) | $0 | Adequate | Dividends + buybacks returned to shareholders |
Sector Rankings
| Metric | Value | Percentile | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -0.0% | Bottom 50% | -0.0x below |
| Free Cash Flow Margin | -9.4% | Bottom 10% | -1.0x below |
| Gross Margin | 34.8% | Bottom 50% | 0.7x below |
| Operating Margin | -4.2% | Bottom 50% | -0.9x below |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -0.3% | Bottom 50% | -0.1x below |
Financial Scorecard
| Metric | INTC | Rating | Sector Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -0.0% | Red flag | Bottom 50% of sector (median: 5.2%) |
| Free Cash Flow Margin | -9.4% | Red flag | Thin cash margins |
| Gross Margin | 34.8% | Good | Bottom 50% of sector (median: 51.8%) |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 40.8% | Good | Moderate leverage |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -3.0% | Red flag | Growth-focused valuation |
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is INTEL CORP's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)?
INTEL CORP (INTC) has a trailing twelve-month Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -0.0%. This compares below the sector median of 5.2%. An ROIC below 8% suggests the company may be destroying shareholder value.
Q: What is INTEL CORP's Free Cash Flow Margin?
INTEL CORP (INTC) has a free cash flow margin of -9.4%, generating $-4.9 billion in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months. Negative free cash flow means the company is consuming cash, which may require financing.
Q: Is INTEL CORP stock overvalued or undervalued?
INTEL CORP (INTC) trades at a P/E ratio of -402.2x, which is above the sector median of N/A. The EV/Sales multiple is 3.5x.
Q: What is INTEL CORP's revenue and earnings growth?
INTEL CORP (INTC) declined revenue by 0.5% year-over-year. Earnings per share increased by 97.9% compared to the prior year. Revenue decline may indicate market challenges or industry headwinds.
Q: How does INTEL CORP compare to competitors in Technology?
Compared to other companies in Technology, INTEL CORP (INTC) shows: ROIC of -0.0% is below the sector median of 5.2% (Bottom 38%). FCF margin of -9.4% trails the sector median of 9.1%. Gross margin at 34.8% is 17.1 percentage points lower than sector peers. These rankings are based on MetricDuck's analysis of all Technology companies with available SEC filings.
Q: What warning signs should I watch for with INTEL CORP?
Investors in INTEL CORP (INTC) should monitor these potential warning signs: 1) FCF margin is thin at -9.4%, leaving limited buffer for economic downturns. Regular monitoring of SEC filings and quarterly trends is recommended.
Data Source: Data sourced from 10-Q filed 2025-11-06. TTM metrics as of Q4 2025.
Methodology: Financial metrics calculated from SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings using standardized formulas. Sector comparisons use peer group based on SIC code.
Scope: This analysis covers SEC filing fundamentals — profitability, cash flow, balance sheet, and valuation metrics. For analyst estimates and price targets, consult sell-side research.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.