HUBG
Hub Group, Inc.
Transportation • CIK: 0000940942
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Market Cap
$2.07M
P/E (TTM)
31.6x
Rev Growth (TTM)
-5.8%
Net Margin (TTM)
1.7%
FCF Yield (TTM)
5482.3%
FCF Margin (TTM)
3.0%
Cash Flow Health
Free Cash Flow7/8 positive
TTM$113M
Q3 '25
$19M-61%
Q2 '25
$50M-1%
FCF Margin
TTM3.0%
Q3 '252.1%-63%
Sector: 4.3%Below Avg
OCF Margin4.3%
OCF/NI2.47x
CapEx Coverage3.4x
FCF Yield5482.3%
FCF Growth (2Y)-20%
Cash Conversion Cycle
1 days
DSO: 1+DIO: –−DPO: –
Capital Allocation & Returns
Shareholder Friendly
Total Shareholder YieldTTM
TTM2118.4%
Div Yield1450.7%
+Buyback (TTM)667.7%
Strong capital returns to shareholders
Dividend & Payout Metrics
Dividend Yield (TTM)1450.7%
FCF Payout Ratio26.5%
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$113.4M
Stock Repurchases (TTM)$13.8M
Capital Return / FCF38.6%
Est. Dividends Paid (TTM)$30.0M
Shows how management rewards shareholders
Operational Efficiency & Returns
Return on Invested CapitalTTM
4.9%
Stable
-0.0% YoY-0.3%
P25MedianP75
75th pctl (med: 0.1%)
DuPont BreakdownROIC = Margin × Turn × (1+D/E)
NOPAT Margin
2.9%
8Q: 2.9%
Asset Turnover
1.31x
8Q: 1.36x
Leverage (1+D/E)
1.15x
D/E: 0.15x
DuPont: 4.5% ≈ 4.9% ROIC
Asset & CapEx Efficiency
Fixed Asset Turn
5.06x
8Q:5.06x
-7.1%
Invested Cap Turn
1.67x
8Q:1.77x
-19.4%
CapEx Intensity
2.1%
8Q:2.4%
CapEx/Depreciation
0.25x
Asset-based ROIC formula
QUARTERLY TRENDS
Last 8 quarters + TTM
| Metric | TTM | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | Q4 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $3.7B | $934.5M↑3.2% | $905.6M↓1.0% | $915.2M↓6.0% | $973.5M↓1.4% | $986.9M↑0.0% | $986.5M↓1.3% | $999.5M↑1.5% | $985.0M |
Operating Income | $142.7M | $39.4M↑14.8% | $34.3M↓8.0% | $37.3M↑18.4% | $31.5M↓1.8% | $32.1M↓18.8% | $39.5M↑6.4% | $37.1M↑26.3% | $29.4M |
Net Income | $64.9M | $28.6M↑13.1% | $25.2M↓6.0% | $26.8M↑271.0% | $-15.7M↓166.5% | $23.6M↓18.7% | $29.0M↑7.3% | $27.1M↓6.0% | $28.8M |
Operating Cash Flow | $160.2M | $28.1M↓54.3% | $61.5M↓12.2% | $70.0M↑11495.2% | $604.0K↓98.6% | $43.4M↓38.0% | $69.9M↓13.1% | $80.5M↓19.1% | $99.5M |
Free Cash Flow | $113.4M | $19.4M↓61.4% | $50.2M↓1.2% | $50.8M↑824.0% | $-7.0M↓122.4% | $31.4M↓44.2% | $56.2M↓10.8% | $63.0M↓3.2% | $65.1M |
Total Equity | N/A |
Valuation Analysis
Fair Value
Price-to-EarningsTTM
31.6x
Volatile
8Q: 86.1x-10341%
Valuation Lenses
Earnings
31.6x
vs – sector
Cash Flow
14.5x
EV/FCF vs –
Growth-Adj
–PEG
N/A
Quality-Adj
6.4P/E per %ROIC
ROIC: 4.9%
Shareholder Returns
Dividend
1450.7%
Buyback
667.7%
Total Yield
2118.4%
Market Cap$2.07M
EV–
Multi-angle valuation analysis with sector context
Business Quality & Moat
Overall Quality Score
68/100
High Quality
Composite score: Returns (40%) + Consistency (30%) + Earnings Quality (30%)
Returns on Capital
Return on Equity (ROE)Below Avg
3.9%
8Q:–
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)Top 25%
4.9%
8Q:–
Flat
vs Sector:0.1%
DuPont Analysis (ROIC = NOPAT Margin × Asset Turnover)
NOPAT Margin: 2.9%
Asset Turnover: 1.31x
Earnings Quality
Cash Conversion
2.47x
OCF / Net Income ✓
FCF Consistency
–
Positive quarters
Competitive Moat Indicators
Pricing Power
Gross Margin–
Capital Efficiency
Invested Capital Turnover1.67x
Working Capital
Cash Conversion Cycle1 days
Growth Quality & Momentum
Low Quality
Growth Quality Score
34/100
Growth 40%
Margins 30%
FCF 20%
Consistency 10%
Growth Rates
Revenue Growth YoY
-5.8%
OpInc Growth YoY
22.9%
EPS Growth YoY
-39.5%
FCF 3Y CAGR
-19.7%
Growth Quality Analysis
⚠Working Capital Drag: FCF growth lagging revenue by 13.9%
⚠Sustainability Index: 1.0/10 - Growth sustainability concerns
Margin Quality & Sustainability
Low Quality
Profitability Cascade
Gross
—
Operating
3.8%
Below Avg in sector
Net
1.7%
Margins Unknown
Earnings Quality Signals
SBC / Revenue
—
FCF vs Net Gap
+1.3 pts
FCF: 3.0% | Net: 1.7%
Quality = stability + cash conversion + low dilution
Balance Sheet & Solvency
Solid
Net Debt / EBITDA
–Net Debt: $135.30M
Interest Coverage
–
Leverage Metrics
Debt-to-Equity
0.15x
Balance sheet risk & solvency analysis