HD
HOME DEPOT, INC.
Consumer Discretionary • CIK: 0000354950
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Market Cap
$372.06B
P/E (TTM)
26.3x
Rev Growth (TTM)
+3.2%
Net Margin (TTM)
8.6%
FCF Yield (TTM)
3.4%
FCF Margin (TTM)
7.7%
Filing Intelligence
7.0/10
10-K filed Mar 18, 2026 • FY 2025
Executive Summary
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) decreased significantly from 31.3% to 25.7%, impacted by acquisition financing and paused share repurchases.. The company has $738 million in outstanding letters of...
Key Concerns
- ●Gross margins slightly declined due to acquisition integration, while operating expenses increased due to higher payroll costs.
- ●Operating cash flow declined by $3.5 billion due to unfavorable working capital movements.
- ●Significant goodwill and intangible asset additions due to acquisitions (GMS and SRS) which require subjective fair value estimates and may...
Key Strengths
- ●Revenue growth in fiscal 2025 was primarily driven by acquisitions (SRS and GMS), contributing $6.3 billion.
- ●The company plans significant capital expenditures of $4 billion in fiscal 2026, focused on store growth and improving customer experience.
Cash Flow Health
Free Cash Flow8/8 positive
TTM$12.6B
Q4 '26
$2.3B-26%
Q3 '26
$3.1B-16%
FCF Margin
TTM7.7%
Q4 '266.0%-20%
Sector: 2.7%Top 25%
OCF Margin9.9%
OCF/NI1.15x
CapEx Coverage4.4x
FCF Yield3.4%
FCF Growth (2Y)+3%
Cash Conversion Cycle
54 days
DSO: 13+DIO: 84−DPO: 44
Capital Allocation & Returns
Balanced
Total Shareholder Yield
TTM2.5%
Div Yield2.5%
Balancing returns with reinvestment
Dividend & Payout Metrics
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.5%
FCF Payout Ratio72.3%
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$12.6B
Stock Repurchases ()$0
Capital Return / FCF72.4%
Est. Dividends Paid (TTM)$9.1B
Shows how management rewards shareholders
Operational Efficiency & Returns
Return on Invested CapitalTTM
23.1%
Moderate
-0.0% YoY-10.4%
P25MedianP75
75th pctl (med: 0.1%)
DuPont BreakdownROIC = Margin × Turn × (1+D/E)
NOPAT Margin
9.7%
Asset Turnover
1.62x
8Q: 1.65x
Leverage (1+D/E)
4.97x
D/E: 3.97x
DuPont: 77.7% ≈ 23.1% ROIC
Asset & CapEx Efficiency
Fixed Asset Turn
6.06x
8Q:6.00x
-9.2%
Invested Cap Turn
2.39x
8Q:2.38x
-52.9%
CapEx Intensity
5.3%
8Q:5.3%
CapEx/Depreciation
1.05x
Asset-based ROIC formula
QUARTERLY TRENDS
Last 8 quarters + TTM
| Metric | TTM | Q4 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2026 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $164.7B | $38.2B↓7.6% | $41.4B↓8.7% | $45.3B↑13.6% | $39.9B↑0.4% | $39.7B↓1.3% | $40.2B↓6.9% | $43.2B↑18.6% | $36.4B |
Operating Income | $20.9B | $3.8B↓28.1% | $5.4B↓18.3% | $6.6B↑27.7% | $5.1B↑14.2% | $4.5B↓17.0% | $5.4B↓17.1% | $6.5B↑28.6% | $5.1B |
Net Income | $14.2B | $2.6B↓28.6% | $3.6B↓20.9% | $4.6B↑32.6% | $3.4B↑14.5% | $3.0B↓17.8% | $3.6B↓20.0% | $4.6B↑26.7% | $3.6B |
Operating Cash Flow | $16.3B | $3.3B↓16.5% | $4.0B↓13.6% | $4.6B↑7.4% | $4.3B↓7.4% | $4.7B↑10.3% | $4.2B↓21.7% | $5.4B↓1.6% | $5.5B |
Free Cash Flow | $12.6B | $2.3B↓26.4% | $3.1B↓16.5% | $3.7B↑5.9% | $3.5B↓1.4% | $3.6B↑4.5% | $3.4B↓27.2% | $4.7B↑0.9% | $4.7B |
Total Equity | N/A |
Valuation Analysis
Fair Value
Price-to-EarningsTTM
26.3x
Volatile
8Q: 105.0x+3327%
Multiple expansion without fundamental improvement
Valuation Lenses
Earnings
26.3x
vs – sector
Cash Flow
33.1x
EV/FCF vs –
Growth-Adj
–PEG
N/A
Quality-Adj
1.1P/E per %ROIC
ROIC: 23.1%
Shareholder Returns
Dividend
2.5%
Buyback
–
Total Yield
2.5%
Market Cap$372.06B
EV$418.38B
Multi-angle valuation analysis with sector context
Business Quality & Moat
Overall Quality Score
92/100
Exceptional
Composite score: Returns (40%) + Consistency (30%) + Earnings Quality (30%)
Returns on Capital
Return on Equity (ROE)Top 10%
1.4%
8Q:–
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)Top 25%
23.1%
8Q:–
-10.4%
vs Sector:0.1%
DuPont Analysis (ROIC = NOPAT Margin × Asset Turnover)
NOPAT Margin: 9.7%
Asset Turnover: 1.62x
Earnings Quality
Cash Conversion
1.15x
OCF / Net Income ✓
FCF Consistency
–
Positive quarters
Competitive Moat Indicators
Pricing Power
Gross Margin33.3%
Capital Efficiency
Invested Capital Turnover2.39x
Working Capital
Cash Conversion Cycle54 days
Growth Quality & Momentum
Moderate Growth
Growth Quality Score
55/100
Growth 40%
Margins 30%
FCF 20%
Consistency 10%
Growth Rates
Revenue Growth YoY
3.2%
OpInc Growth YoY
-14.4%
EPS Growth YoY
-4.6%
FCF 3Y CAGR
3.2%
Margin Quality & Sustainability
Moderate
Profitability Cascade
Gross
33.3%
Operating
12.7%
Top 25% in sector
Net
8.6%
Margins Unknown
Earnings Quality Signals
SBC / Revenue
—
FCF vs Net Gap
-0.9 pts
FCF: 7.7% | Net: 8.6%
Quality = stability + cash conversion + low dilution
Balance Sheet & Solvency
Leveraged
Net Debt / EBITDA
–Net Debt: $49.42B
Interest Coverage
–
Balance sheet risk & solvency analysis