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Semiconductor Equipment

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Analysis

Semiconductor Equipment: What ROIC Doesn't Tell You About AMAT's Risk

The semiconductor equipment ROIC spread (LRCX 54% vs AMAT 27%) is observable in any screener. But SEC filings reveal four hidden signals: AMAT faces TWO government investigations plus $181M restructuring, KLAC's AI packaging segment grew 37% with 401bps margin expansion (proving AI demand is real), LRCX's cash conversion is declining -23.7% (hidden stress beneath high ROIC), and ASML's 4-customer concentration creates feast-or-famine cycles.

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14 min read
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Analysis

Semiconductor Equipment ROIC: Why KLA's 43% Returns Have a Catch

KLA Corporation delivers 43% ROIC—highest in semiconductor equipment. But SEC filings reveal 33% China revenue concentration, DOJ export investigations, and rare earth supply risks. Our DuPont analysis shows KLAC's zero-debt, asset-light model drives returns, while ASML's 75% invested capital growth explains its ROIC decline. Lam Research emerges as the 'boring winner' with stable returns and minimal risk.

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min read
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Analysis

Rare Earth Stocks: What the 10-Q Actually Says About USAR, MP, UUUU, NB, and PPTA

Five US-listed rare earth and critical minerals companies hold a combined ~$16 billion market cap. We computed cash runway, dilution velocity, and project funding gaps from their latest 10-Q XBRL data — then cross-referenced every government funding headline against what the SEC filings actually disclose. Key findings: NioCorp is 27% funded for the $1.14B Elk Creek Project with an EXIM timeline they 'cannot estimate.' Perpetua is 32% funded for a $2.2B project facing two federal lawsuits. NB shareholders have been diluted 210% from baseline. MP Materials is the only company with binding customer contracts and government price protection — but it's still burning $230M per year in free cash flow.

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20 min read
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Analysis

FCX vs SCCO: Why the Largest Copper Miner Earns the Lowest ROIC

We computed ROIC from XBRL financial data for every NYSE-listed copper miner with processed filings. Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) — the world's largest publicly traded copper producer — earns the lowest return on invested capital at 9.2%, while Southern Copper (SCCO) generates 24.2% on half the revenue. The 10-K filings reveal why: FCX's Indonesia operations depend on $2.82/lb gold credits to achieve negative cash costs, while SCCO's $0.89/lb cost structure is built on vertical integration and 60-year mine lives.

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16 min read
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Research

How SEC Filers Actually Report Cost of Revenue in XBRL — And Why Standard Extraction Misses $229 Billion

Our analysis of 2,100+ SEC filers reveals that cost of revenue reporting in XBRL is even more fragmented than revenue. Only 38% of filers use the most common element (CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold), 36% have no standard COGS element at all, and ExxonMobil's $199.5 billion in crude oil purchases is invisible to standard extraction — producing a misleading 100% gross margin.

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min read
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