All articles tagged with "Earnings Quality"
Meta's Family of Apps earns a 51.5% operating margin. Its ROIC is declining at -6.3 points per quarter. Both facts are true simultaneously. The gap between them reveals everything about the largest AI infrastructure bet in advertising history — and the accounting policies designed to make it look cheaper than it is.
Boston Scientific has 69% gross margins. Abbott has 56%. Yet Abbott's ROIC is 2.6x higher. This paradox reveals something fundamental about capital efficiency in medical devices—and why screening for 'high margin' stocks can lead you astray.
The conventional wisdom says Visa is the safer, higher-quality payment stock. Our ROIC analysis tells a different story: Mastercard's 78% ROIC dwarfs Visa's 36%, and the reason reveals something important about how to read these metrics.
CL has the highest ROIC (34.4%), yet PG—with the lowest ROIC (23.9%)—shows the strongest improvement trajectory (+21.6% over 8 quarters). Meanwhile, KO's superior cash generation masks a $12 billion tax liability. Here's how to read beyond the headline metrics.
All three companies raised dividends in 2025. All three beat Q3 earnings estimates. But one has a $950 million hidden liability that most investors don't see. Progressive's 26.8% payout looks sustainable until you examine what's buried in the filing footnotes.
Oracle's -$10B Q2 free cash flow triggered alarm bells. Decomposition reveals the collapse is 70% working capital timing, not structural deterioration. The real story: $248B in off-balance sheet lease commitments dwarfs their $100B balance sheet debt. This is the largest infrastructure bet in enterprise software history.
Adobe's ROIC didn't just beat peers—it doubled in 8 quarters. The story isn't 'Adobe has high ROIC.' It's WHY it improved from 50% to 105% while Salesforce stayed at 12%. DuPont decomposition reveals the answer.
Three fuel cell companies target AI data center power, but execution quality varies dramatically. Bloom Energy's +4.5% ROIC vs Plug Power's -104% isn't a small difference—it's a fundamental divide between a functioning business and a value destroyer. Our SEC filing analysis reveals warning signs even for the winner.
At $25B market cap and 41x revenue, Rocket Lab prices in Neutron success. Our 5-pass filing analysis reveals what the narrative misses: Launch Services growth inflated 32% by catch-up accounting, backlog concentration (69% top 5) exceeds revenue concentration, and gross margins compressed from 55% to 37%. Here's what to watch before the rocket flies.
PSX 21% ROIC vs VLO 4.5%? The numbers lie. VLO's Cash ROIC is 23.3%—actually the highest. One-time California impairments distort the picture. Here's the analytical framework that matters.
CrowdStrike's 10-Q tells a rare story: risk factors that are actively materializing. Two risks escalated, one is new, and zero have been resolved. The July 19 incident created $101M+ in expenses, litigation with no disclosed maximum exposure, and management admissions that read like warnings, not disclaimers. This is a test case for reading risk factors seriously.
Centrus Energy (LEU) returned 264% in 2025 on the HALEU monopoly thesis. But SEC filings reveal a 69% collapse in core SWU pricing and negative gross profit. Meanwhile, Cameco (CCJ) delivered +88% gross profit growth with 530bps margin expansion.
VST's +321% appreciation prices in nuclear optionality, but ignores a $510M battery fire disaster and antitrust lawsuit. CEG's 'capacity price boom' masks 970bps margin spread between regions. TLN's 0.9x interest coverage means debt service consumes nearly ALL operating income. We analyzed 9 filings to surface what the market overlooks.
Two enterprise AI giants, two very different earnings quality profiles. Palantir (6/10) wins on cash conversion, accounting practices, and litigation risk. Snowflake (4/10) struggles with negative cash conversion (-0.47x) and aggressive software capitalization ($228M). Our 5-pass SEC filing analysis reveals what standard screeners miss.
LYFT has higher gross margin (42.6%) AND better earnings quality (7/10) than UBER. So why is LYFT barely profitable? The answer: OpEx. LYFT spends 42.2% of revenue on operating expenses vs UBER's 30.6%. Our 5-pass filing intelligence reveals how scale economics beat unit economics in rideshare.
Five cloud security platforms, five different approaches to shareholder value. Elastic (7/10) stands out with neutral accounting and sustainable SBC. CrowdStrike (4/10) raises red flags with 22.9% SBC/revenue and multi-front July 19 litigation. Our 5-pass filing intelligence reveals what standard screeners miss.
Earnings can be manipulated through accounting choices. Cash flow cannot. Our earnings quality research library covers OCF/NI ratios, FCF consistency, stock-based compensation dilution, depreciation divergence, and buyback effectiveness—everything you need to separate real profits from accounting fiction.
Learn how to monitor $370B in AI infrastructure spending quarterly with a 3-metric framework. Track capex/revenue trends, depreciation manipulation signals, and growth alignment across Google, Microsoft, Amazon & Meta. Updated December 2025 with Meta's $600B commitment and Michael Burry's depreciation thesis.
Michael Burry warns Big Tech will understate depreciation by $176B through 2028. Amazon is taking a contrarian approach—shortening useful lives and accepting a $700M profit hit while peers extend to boost earnings. Learn how to screen for earnings quality using the capex/depreciation ratio.
Earnings quality measures how sustainable and real a company's profits are. High-quality earnings convert to cash; low-quality earnings are accounting tricks. This guide shows you exactly how to evaluate any company using our 3-metric framework with original data.
Three major fintechs, three very different approaches to earnings quality. PayPal (8/10) represents conservative accounting, Block (6/10) shows aggressive tendencies with regulatory exposure, and Coinbase (4/10) raises red flags with 0.10x cash conversion. Our 5-pass filing intelligence reveals what standard screeners miss.
Earnings can be manipulated through accounting choices. Cash flow cannot. Learn the cash conversion framework—synthesizing Damodaran's multi-period analysis, Greenwald's earnings power value, and Sloan's accruals anomaly—to separate real profits from accounting fiction.
AMD generates $1.72 in cash per $1 of profit—the best in semiconductors—while NVIDIA manages only $0.84. This signals AMD's earnings are higher quality and more sustainable despite NVIDIA's explosive growth.