HUM 10-K Analysis: Why Only 28% of Humana's Cash Flow Collapse Has a Clear Cause
Humana grew revenue 10.1% to $129.7 billion in FY2025 — and saw operating cash flow collapse 69% to $921 million. Management calls it 'timing,' but the filing's own receivables numbers explain only 28% of the $2.05 billion decline. Meanwhile, Q4 quietly ran at an estimated 106.6% combined ratio, Star Ratings plunged from 94% to 20% of members in 4+ star plans, and a $3.5 billion revenue headwind looms for 2026. The only bright spot: CenterWell's 5.96% margin engine generates 44.6% of segment profits from 17.3% of revenue.