ENB 10-K Analysis: The C$7.8B Gap Between Enbridge's Two Dividend Stories
Enbridge reported record adjusted EBITDA of C$20 billion in FY2025 and celebrated its 31st consecutive dividend increase. Revenue surged 22%. Net income jumped 40%. But the 10-K tells a different story: core pipeline toll revenue grew just 1.8%, more than half of revenue is zero-margin commodity pass-through, and the dividend consumed 278% of free cash flow. The gap between these two narratives — management's DCF showing 1.5x coverage versus GAAP FCF showing 0.36x — comes down to C$7.8 billion in annual growth capex. Is it discretionary? The filing's C$18.3 billion in non-cancellable purchase commitments suggest much of it is not. We decompose Enbridge's revenue quality, dividend mechanics, segment margins, and leverage trajectory using data from the 10-K, Q3 8-K, and Q2 10-Q to show what the earnings headline misses.